Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Central Cordoba de Santiago 0-2 Atletico Tucuman.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Central Cordoba de Santiago, 27% draw, 33% Atletico Tucuman — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Central Cordoba de Santiago at 40% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Javier VallejosG
- 33Santiago MoyanoD
- 2Alejandro MacielD
- 6Facundo MansillaD
- 20Fernando MartínezD
- 22Matías VeraM
- 11Horacio TijanovichM
- 10Marco IacobellisM
- 18Lucas GonzálezM
- 7Diego BarreraM
- 9Lucas VaraldoF
- 5Tiago CraveroM
- 13José GomézD
- 19Ezequiel NayaF
- 30Federico RodriguezM
- 12Máximo ÁlvarezG
- 3Leonardo MarchiD
- 42Juan Pablo PignaniD
- 17Yuri CasermeiroD
- 55Juan CardozoM
- 1Luis IngolottiG
- 3Maximiliano VillaD
- 26Clever FerreiraD
- 36Luciano VallejoD
- 21Ignacio GalvánD
- 31Lautaro Agustin GodoyM
- 19Leonel VegaM
- 10Franco NicolaM
- 11Renzo TesuriF
- 9Leandro DíazF
- 18Ramiro Ruiz RodríguezF
- 28Gabriel CompagnucciD
- 45Kevin OrtízM
- 27Rodrigo GranilloF
- 5Julián FernándezM
- 30Manuel BrondoF
- 25Tomás DursoG
- 6Gianluca FerrariD
- 4Tomás JungD
- 24Leonel Di PlácidoD
Form going into Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman
Central Cordoba de Santiago
- L0-1away to Gimnasia Mendoza24 July 2026
Atletico Tucuman
- D0-0Independiente Rivadavia26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman
- 31 July 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–2 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 28 January 2026Atletico Tucuman 0–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 19 July 2025Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 31 January 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–0 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 17 December 2024Atletico Tucuman 2–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 27 February 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–0 Atletico TucumanCopa de la Liga Profesional
Leading scorers: Central Cordoba de Santiago and Atletico Tucuman
Central Cordoba de Santiago
- M. Santos7 goals2 assists
Atletico Tucuman
- L. Díaz7 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.