Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 3 · 1 August 2026, 21:00 UTC

Estudiantes La Plata vs Defensa Y Justicia

Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata

The model makes it 77% Estudiantes La Plata, 14% draw, 9% Defensa Y Justicia — fair odds of 1.30, 7.14 and 11.11. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (10%).

Expected goals: Estudiantes La Plata 2.77, Defensa Y Justicia 0.86.

Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%, under 2.5: 30%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

54%
Both teams to score
70%
Over 2.5 goals
30%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-0 10%3-0 9%2-1 9%

Head-to-head: Estudiantes La Plata vs Defensa Y Justicia

  • 2 February 2026Defensa Y Justicia 0–0 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 22 September 2025Estudiantes La Plata 1–0 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 9 March 2025Defensa Y Justicia 1–0 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 28 September 2024Estudiantes La Plata 1–0 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 29 March 2024Defensa Y Justicia 1–0 Estudiantes La PlataCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 14 December 2023Estudiantes La Plata 1–0 Defensa Y JusticiaCopa Argentina
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Estudiantes La Plata the highest probability at 77%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.77 expected goals for Estudiantes La Plata against 0.86 for Defensa Y Justicia. Estudiantes La Plata's attack/defence rating is 0.8/0.74 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.83/1.83 for Defensa Y Justicia.