Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Banfield Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-0 Banfield.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, 23% draw, 40% Banfield — fair odds of 2.70, 4.35 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Banfield at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Banfield
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1L. BrueraG
- 2G. MaffiniD
- 30S. OjedaD
- 29A. QuirogaD
- 13F. RomeroM
- 14G. GonzalezM
- 19N. TalponeM
- 10T. GonzalezM
- 17G. AlanisM
- 16Y. MorenoF
- 27J. GarroF
- 43A. LastraG
- 45R. LozanoD
- 8S. RosaneM
- 26E. ForclazM
- 28F. CobosD
- 32M. BajamichF
- 77I. HesarM
- 40F. Lo CelsoM
- 6J. AntoniniD
- 1F. SanguinettiG
- 13B. OviedoD
- 34S. DanieleD
- 6N. MerianoD
- 24S. LopezM
- 21L. VillegasM
- 20T. AdoryanM
- 27I. AbrahamM
- 40D. ZalazarF
- 9B. SepulvedaF
- 17T. PerrottaF
- 25G. SantilliG
- 11F. AlvarezM
- 30F. AnselmoF
- 8L. RiosM
- 18F. MedinaM
- 5S. EsquivelM
- 33N. MorenoM
- 35N. PaisM
- 4J. L. AlfaroD
Form going into Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Banfield
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Argentinos Juniors29 July 2026
- W1-0Tigre25 July 2026
Banfield
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Sarmiento Junin28 July 2026
- L0-1away to Huracan25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Banfield
- 3 February 2026Banfield 2–1 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 3 August 2023Banfield 0–1 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoCopa Argentina
The result against the call
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Banfield drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Banfield at 40% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.45–1.12.