Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Argentinos Juniors.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Belgrano Cordoba, 25% draw, 20% Argentinos Juniors — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Belgrano Cordoba at 55% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25T. CardozoG
- 14L. MoralesD
- 2A. MaldonadoD
- 17L. LopezD
- 3A. SporleD
- 21A. SanchezM
- 20F. VazquezM
- 26A. J. Benitez CabreraM
- 10L. ZelarayanM
- 24E. RigoniM
- 22N. FernandezF
- 23M. VicentiniG
- 9L. PasseriniF
- 8R. Hernandes
- 37L. GutierrezF
- 30G. ZelarayanF
- 19S. Gatti
- 5S. LongoM
- 13A. OcampoD
- 15R. TulianM
- 25B. CortesG
- 22K. CoronelD
- 16F. AlvarezD
- 6F. VazquezD
- 20S. PrietoD
- 21G. FlorentinM
- 15K. GutierrezM
- 11N. OrozM
- 23H. LopezM
- 27T. MolinaF
- 9G. VeronF
- 50D. RodriguezG
- 26C. BravoD
- 19M. GimenezF
- 32G. InfantinoM
- 29E. ViverosM
- 37T. Gomez
- 47D. PorcelF
- 48F. JainikoskiF
- 36G. BouhierF
Form going into Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors
Belgrano Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Rosario Central23 July 2026
Argentinos Juniors
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto29 July 2026
- W3-2away to Sarmiento Junin23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 22 |
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors
- 17 May 2026Argentinos Juniors 1–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 3 February 2026Argentinos Juniors 0–0 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 November 2025Argentinos Juniors 1–0 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 24 October 2025Belgrano Cordoba 1–2 Argentinos JuniorsCopa Argentina
- 26 April 2025Belgrano Cordoba 1–1 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
The result against the call
Argentinos Juniors won 1–0 at Belgrano Cordoba. The model had leaned towards a win for Belgrano Cordoba at 55% and given a win for Argentinos Juniors 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: F. Alvarez 45' for Argentinos Juniors. Sent off: Franco Vázquez (Belgrano Cordoba) 39'. On expected goals it finished 0.51–1.04.