1 August 2026, 21:00 UTC

Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra, Cordoba
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Argentinos Juniors.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Belgrano Cordoba, 25% draw, 20% Argentinos Juniors — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Belgrano Cordoba at 55% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Belgrano Cordoba0%Draw4%Argentinos Juniors96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Franco Vázquez
27'
•Franco Vázquez
38'
Franco Vázquez
39'
45'
⚽F. Alvarezassist: G. Florentin
🔁N. Fernandezout: L. Passerini
46'
🔁A. J. Benitez Cabreraout: S. Longo
46'
46'
🔁G. Florentinout: E. Viveros
49'
•Emiliano Viveros
54'
Tomás Molina
60'
🔁S. Prietoout: C. Bravo
60'
🔁G. Veronout: M. Gimenez
🔁E. Rigoniout: R. Hernandes
76'
76'
🔁H. Lopezout: D. Porcel
84'
🔁T. Molinaout: F. Jainikoski
🔁A. Sporleout: R. Tulian
85'
🔁A. Sanchezout: L. Gutierrez
87'

Match stats — Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors

36%Possession64%
10Shots9
2On target4
2Corners2
0.51xG1.04

Goals against chances

Belgrano Cordoba0 from 0.51 xGless than the chances were worth
Argentinos Juniors1 from 1.04 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Belgrano Cordoba 4-2-3-1
  • 25T. CardozoG
  • 14L. MoralesD
  • 2A. MaldonadoD
  • 17L. LopezD
  • 3A. SporleD
  • 21A. SanchezM
  • 20F. VazquezM
  • 26A. J. Benitez CabreraM
  • 10L. ZelarayanM
  • 24E. RigoniM
  • 22N. FernandezF
Substitutes
  • 23M. VicentiniG
  • 9L. PasseriniF
  • 8R. Hernandes
  • 37L. GutierrezF
  • 30G. ZelarayanF
  • 19S. Gatti
  • 5S. LongoM
  • 13A. OcampoD
  • 15R. TulianM
Coach: Ricardo Zielinski
Argentinos Juniors 4-3-1-2
  • 25B. CortesG
  • 22K. CoronelD
  • 16F. AlvarezD
  • 6F. VazquezD
  • 20S. PrietoD
  • 21G. FlorentinM
  • 15K. GutierrezM
  • 11N. OrozM
  • 23H. LopezM
  • 27T. MolinaF
  • 9G. VeronF
Substitutes
  • 50D. RodriguezG
  • 26C. BravoD
  • 19M. GimenezF
  • 32G. InfantinoM
  • 29E. ViverosM
  • 37T. Gomez
  • 47D. PorcelF
  • 48F. JainikoskiF
  • 36G. BouhierF
Coach: Nicolas Diez

Form going into Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors

Belgrano Cordoba

  • W2-1Rosario Central23 July 2026

Argentinos Juniors

  • W3-0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto29 July 2026
  • W3-2away to Sarmiento Junin23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors

  • 1 August 2026Belgrano Cordoba 0–1 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 17 May 2026Argentinos Juniors 1–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 3 February 2026Argentinos Juniors 0–0 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 11 November 2025Argentinos Juniors 1–0 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 24 October 2025Belgrano Cordoba 1–2 Argentinos JuniorsCopa Argentina
  • 26 April 2025Belgrano Cordoba 1–1 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.