Wisla Krakow vs GKS Katowice Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Wisla Krakow 2-1 GKS Katowice.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Wisla Krakow, 24% draw, 51% GKS Katowice — fair odds of 4.00, 4.17 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts GKS Katowice at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wisla Krakow vs GKS Katowice
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Marcel ŁubikG
- 34Raoul GigerD
- 6Alan UrygaD
- 13Maxence MaisonneuveD
- 52Jakub KrzyżanowskiD
- 51Maciej KuziemkaM
- 41Kacper DudaM
- 12James IgbekemeM
- 17Marko BožićM
- 10Frederico DuarteF
- 11Jordi SánchezF
- 7Julius ErtlthalerM
- 9Ángel RodadoF
- 8Marc CarboM
- 27Elie YouanF
- 2Julian LelieveldD
- 28Patryk LetkiewiczG
- 50Mariusz KutwaD
- 97Wiktor BiedrzyckiD
- 20Ervin OmićM
- 87Gabriel KobylakG
- 6Lukas KlemenzD
- 4Arkadiusz JędrychD
- 55Pau RestaD
- 23Marcin WasielewskiM
- 19Kacper ŁukasiakM
- 68Bartosz WolskiM
- 8Borja GalánM
- 15Eman MarkovićF
- 17Ilia ShkurinF
- 27Bartosz NowakF
- 30Alan CzerwińskiD
- 97Erik JirkaM
- 99Adam ZreľákF
- 31Szymon BartlewiczM
- 7Mateusz WdowiakM
- 1Maciej KikolskiG
- 14Marius OlsenD
- 22Sebastian MilewskiM
- 5Jesse BoschM
Form going into Wisla Krakow vs GKS Katowice
Wisla Krakow
No earlier matches on record this season.
GKS Katowice
- L1-2away to Žilina23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wisla Krakow | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wisla Krakow vs GKS Katowice
- 26 July 2026Wisla Krakow 2–1 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
- 18 May 2024GKS Katowice 5–2 Wisla KrakowI Liga
- 25 November 2023Wisla Krakow 3–2 GKS KatowiceI Liga
- 4 March 2023GKS Katowice 1–3 Wisla KrakowI Liga
- 9 August 2022Wisla Krakow 2–1 GKS KatowiceI Liga
Leading scorers: Wisla Krakow and GKS Katowice
Wisla Krakow
- Jordi Sánchez6 goals1 assists
- Ángel Rodado3 goals1 assists
GKS Katowice
- I. Shkurin5 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.