Wisla Krakow vs GKS Katowice Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Wisla Krakow 2-1 GKS Katowice.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Wisla Krakow, 24% draw, 51% GKS Katowice — fair odds of 4.00, 4.17 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts GKS Katowice at 51% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wisla Krakow vs GKS Katowice
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Marcel ŁubikG
- 34Raoul GigerD
- 6Alan UrygaD
- 13Maxence MaisonneuveD
- 52Jakub KrzyżanowskiD
- 51Maciej KuziemkaM
- 41Kacper DudaM
- 12James IgbekemeM
- 17Marko BožićM
- 10Frederico DuarteF
- 11Jordi SánchezF
- 7Julius ErtlthalerM
- 9Ángel RodadoF
- 8Marc CarboM
- 27Elie YouanF
- 2Julian LelieveldD
- 28Patryk LetkiewiczG
- 50Mariusz KutwaD
- 97Wiktor BiedrzyckiD
- 20Ervin OmićM
- 87Gabriel KobylakG
- 6Lukas KlemenzD
- 4Arkadiusz JędrychD
- 55Pau RestaD
- 23Marcin WasielewskiM
- 19Kacper ŁukasiakM
- 68Bartosz WolskiM
- 8Borja GalánM
- 15Eman MarkovićF
- 17Ilia ShkurinF
- 27Bartosz NowakF
- 30Alan CzerwińskiD
- 97Erik JirkaM
- 99Adam ZreľákF
- 31Szymon BartlewiczM
- 7Mateusz WdowiakM
- 1Maciej KikolskiG
- 14Marius OlsenD
- 22Sebastian MilewskiM
- 5Jesse BoschM
Form going into Wisla Krakow vs GKS Katowice
Wisla Krakow
No earlier matches on record this season.
GKS Katowice
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Žilina23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 17 | +5 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wisla Krakow vs GKS Katowice
- 18 May 2024GKS Katowice 5–2 Wisla KrakowI Liga
- 25 November 2023Wisla Krakow 3–2 GKS KatowiceI Liga
- 4 March 2023GKS Katowice 1–3 Wisla KrakowI Liga
- 9 August 2022Wisla Krakow 2–1 GKS KatowiceI Liga
Leading scorers: Wisla Krakow and GKS Katowice
Wisla Krakow
GoalsAssists
- Ángel Rodado41
GKS Katowice
GoalsAssists
- I. Shkurin81
- B. Nowak48
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wisla Krakow beat GKS Katowice 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for GKS Katowice at 51% and given a win for Wisla Krakow 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Bozic (penalty) 56' for Wisla Krakow, J. Sanchez 60' for Wisla Krakow, S. Bartlewicz 79' for GKS Katowice. On expected goals it finished 2.76–1.29.