26 July 2026, 15:30 UTC

Widzew Łódź vs Motor Lublin Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Lodz
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Widzew Łódź 2-2 Motor Lublin.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Widzew Łódź, 27% draw, 30% Motor Lublin — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Widzew Łódź at 43% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

13'
⚽S. Bergier (OG)
⚽M. Fornalczykassist: A. Baena Perez
20'
⚽S. Bergier (pen)
28'
32'
F. Luberecki
49'
⚽M. Ndiayeassist: I. Rodrigues
63'
🔁Y. Bourhaneout: P. Meyer
🔁A. Baena Perezout: K. Swiderski
65'
69'
P. Meyer
J. Shehu
73'
C. Cheng
75'
78'
🔁Fabio Ronaldoout: M. Aiko
78'
🔁M. Legowskiout: Kikis
🔁E. Kornvigout: L. Selahi
81'
83'
🔁M. Ndiayeout: F. Haxha
83'
🔁B. Bereszynskiout: T. Plavotic
M. Krajewski
90+4'
🔁M. Fornalczykout: M. Zyro
90+5'

Match stats — Widzew Łódź vs Motor Lublin

53%Possession47%
18Shots11
3On target5
3Corners5
2.49xG1.15

Goals against chances

Widzew Łódź2 from 2.49 xGabout what the chances were worth
Motor Lublin2 from 1.15 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Widzew Łódź 4-4-1-1
  • 1Bartłomiej DrągowskiG
  • 91Marcel KrajewskiD
  • 25Przemysław WiśniewskiD
  • 14Ricardo VisusD
  • 17Christopher ChengD
  • 77Ángel BaenaM
  • 6Juljan ShehuM
  • 8Emil KornvigM
  • 7Mariusz FornalczykM
  • 10Fran ÁlvarezF
  • 99Sebastian BergierF
Substitutes
  • 28Karol ŚwiderskiF
  • 18Lindon SelahiM
  • 4Mateusz ŻyroD
  • 30Veljko IlićG
  • 3Steve KapuadiD
  • 40Mario GarciaD
  • 46Kuba NawrockiM
  • 78Kamil CybulskiM
  • 20Antoni KlukowskiM
Coach: Aleksandar Vukovic
Motor Lublin 4-3-3
  • 71Mihai PopaG
  • 29Thomas SantosD
  • 18Bartosz BereszyńskiD
  • 39Marek Kristián BartošD
  • 24Filip LubereckiD
  • 6Mateusz ŁęgowskiM
  • 27Yacine BourhaneM
  • 7Ivo RodriguesM
  • 30Mbaye NdiayeF
  • 10Karol CzubakF
  • 11Fábio RonaldoF
Substitutes
  • 2Paskal MeyerD
  • 8Christopher SimonM
  • 70Makan AïkoM
  • 4Tin PlavotićD
  • 23Florian HaxhaM
  • 33Gašper TratnikG
  • 5Artem AkatovD
  • 13Krystian BrzozowskiD
  • 21Konrad KraskaM
Coach: Mariusz Misiura

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Widzew Łódź8152111108
16Motor Lublin8125915-65

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Widzew Łódź vs Motor Lublin

  • 26 July 2026Widzew Łódź 2–2 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
  • 26 April 2026Widzew Łódź 2–0 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
  • 24 October 2025Motor Lublin 3–0 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
  • 19 April 2025Widzew Łódź 1–2 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
  • 19 October 2024Motor Lublin 3–4 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
  • 29 June 2024Widzew Łódź 1–2 Motor LublinFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Widzew Łódź and Motor Lublin

Widzew Łódź

  • M. Fornalczyk2 goals1 assists

Motor Lublin

  • K. Czubak5 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.