Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Malmo FF 1-2 IF Elfsborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Malmo FF, 25% draw, 29% IF Elfsborg — fair odds of 2.17, 4.00 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Malmo FF at 46% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg
Line-ups
- 1Robin OlsenG
- 17Jens Stryger LarsenD
- 5Andrej ĐurićD
- 44Malte PalssonD
- 23Noah Åstrand JohnD
- 7Otto RosengrenM
- 45Anton HöögM
- 37Adrian SkogmarM
- 47Theodor LundberghM
- 29Sead HakšabanovićM
- 20Erik BotheimF
- 39Isaac AssibuF
- 25BusanelloD
- 9Diego GarcíaF
- 4Bleon KurtulusD
- 2Johan KarlssonD
- 50William Nieroth LundgrenG
- 19Colin RöslerD
- 28Jovan MilosavljevićM
- 32Daníel Tristan GuðjohnsenF
- 31Isak PetterssonG
- 16Alexander JensenD
- 8Sebastian HolménD
- 4Thomas IsherwoodD
- 23Niklas HultD
- 18Julius MagnussonM
- 10Simon OlssonM
- 29Momoh Ibrahim KamaraM
- 19Julius BeckM
- 9Arbër ZeneliM
- 21Leo ÖstmanF
- 6Rasmus WikströmD
- 15Simon HedlundM
- 24Frederik IhlerF
- 2Rufai MohammedD
- 28Frode AronssonD
- 12Theo SanderG
- 1Tim ErlandssonG
- 22Dion KrasniqiF
- 25Gabríel Snær GunnarssonF
Form going into Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg
Malmo FF
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Kalmar FF20 July 2026
IF Elfsborg
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Sirius19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Malmo FF | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 41 | 34 | +7 | 40 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 39 | 26 | +13 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg
- 14 September 2025IF Elfsborg 2–2 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 7 April 2025Malmo FF 2–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
- 10 March 2025Malmo FF 1–0 IF ElfsborgSvenska Cupen
- 28 May 2024Malmo FF 2–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
- 5 May 2024IF Elfsborg 3–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Malmo FF and IF Elfsborg
Malmo FF
GoalsAssists
- E. Botheim103
IF Elfsborg
GoalsAssists
- L. Ãstman92
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
IF Elfsborg won 2–1 at Malmo FF. The model had leaned towards a win for Malmo FF at 46% and given a win for IF Elfsborg 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: A. Zeneli 5' for IF Elfsborg, J. Stryger 22' for Malmo FF, M. Kamara 34' for IF Elfsborg. Sent off: M. Palsson (Malmo FF) 73'.