26 July 2026, 14:30 UTC

Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg Allsvenskan prediction & result

Eleda Stadion
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Malmo FF 1-2 IF Elfsborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Malmo FF, 25% draw, 29% IF Elfsborg — fair odds of 2.17, 4.00 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Malmo FF at 46% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
⚽A. Zeneliassist: J. Magnusson
21'
🔁S. Holmenout: R. Wikstrom
⚽J. Strygerassist: N. John
22'
34'
⚽M. Kamaraassist: A. Zeneli
🔁T. Lundberghout: I. Assibu
46'
J. Stryger
61'
🔁E. Botheimout: D. Garcia
69'
🔁N. Johnout: Busanello
69'
M. Palsson
73'
🔁A. Hoogout: B. Kurtulus
76'
76'
🔁L. Ostmanout: F. Ihler
76'
🔁A. Zeneliout: S. Hedlund
Busanello
79'
S. Haksabanovic
79'
🔁J. Strygerout: J. Karlsson
84'
A. Djuric
84'
85'
🔁A. Jensenout: R. Mohammed
85'
🔁M. Kamaraout: F. Aronsson
89'
I. Pettersson

Match stats — Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg

61%Possession39%
9Shots9
1On target4
5Corners3

Line-ups

Malmo FF 4-1-4-1
  • 1Robin OlsenG
  • 17Jens Stryger LarsenD
  • 5Andrej ĐurićD
  • 44Malte PalssonD
  • 23Noah Åstrand JohnD
  • 7Otto RosengrenM
  • 45Anton HöögM
  • 37Adrian SkogmarM
  • 47Theodor LundberghM
  • 29Sead HakšabanovićM
  • 20Erik BotheimF
Substitutes
  • 39Isaac AssibuF
  • 25BusanelloD
  • 9Diego GarcíaF
  • 4Bleon KurtulusD
  • 2Johan KarlssonD
  • 50William Nieroth LundgrenG
  • 19Colin RöslerD
  • 28Jovan MilosavljevićM
  • 32Daníel Tristan GuðjohnsenF
Coach: Gaute Helstrup
IF Elfsborg 4-2-3-1
  • 31Isak PetterssonG
  • 16Alexander JensenD
  • 8Sebastian HolménD
  • 4Thomas IsherwoodD
  • 23Niklas HultD
  • 18Julius MagnussonM
  • 10Simon OlssonM
  • 29Momoh Ibrahim KamaraM
  • 19Julius BeckM
  • 9Arbër ZeneliM
  • 21Leo ÖstmanF
Substitutes
  • 6Rasmus WikströmD
  • 15Simon HedlundM
  • 24Frederik IhlerF
  • 2Rufai MohammedD
  • 28Frode AronssonD
  • 12Theo SanderG
  • 1Tim ErlandssonG
  • 22Dion KrasniqiF
  • 25Gabríel Snær GunnarssonF
Coach: Bjorn Hamberg

Form going into Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg

Malmo FF

  • D2-2away to Kalmar FF20 July 2026

IF Elfsborg

  • L1-3Sirius19 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Malmo FF2110383731+633
4IF Elfsborg219752921+834

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg

  • 26 July 2026Malmo FF 1–2 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
  • 14 September 2025IF Elfsborg 2–2 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
  • 7 April 2025Malmo FF 2–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
  • 10 March 2025Malmo FF 1–0 IF ElfsborgSvenska Cupen
  • 28 May 2024Malmo FF 2–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
  • 5 May 2024IF Elfsborg 3–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Malmo FF and IF Elfsborg

Malmo FF

  • E. Botheim10 goals3 assists

IF Elfsborg

  • L. Östman6 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.