Brann
vs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Europa Conference League prediction
Our model says: Brann 2–0 Lincoln Red Imps FC
The model makes it 64% Brann, 22% draw, 14% Lincoln Red Imps FC — fair odds of 1.56, 4.55 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).
Expected goals: Brann 2.70, Lincoln Red Imps FC 0.72.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.
Model confidence: High.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Brann have won 2 of their last 5, most recently a 2-1 win at home to Bodo/Glimt.
All Conference League predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Brann at 64% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
Brann
- W2-1Bodo/Glimt20 September 2026
- L0-2away to Start13 September 2026
- L1-2Lillestrom5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Sandefjord30 August 2026
- W3-0Ham-Kam16 August 2026
Lincoln Red Imps FC
- L0-2Larne20 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Brann and Lincoln Red Imps FC in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brann | Eliteserien | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 32 | +7 | 29 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league — they meet here from different competitions. Lincoln Red Imps FC has not started the league season yet. Full tables: Eliteserien · UEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Brann and Lincoln Red Imps FC
Brann
- N. Holm6 goals3 assists
- K. Ingason6 goals2 assists
Lincoln Red Imps FC
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Brann carry a model rating of 6.69 against 6.21 for Lincoln Red Imps FC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.70 goals for Brann and 0.72 for Lincoln Red Imps FC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Brann rate 0.85 in attack and 1.18 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Lincoln Red Imps FC rate 0.51 and 1.84.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Brann the highest probability at 64%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.70 expected goals for Brann against 0.72 for Lincoln Red Imps FC. Brann's attack/defence rating is 0.85/1.18 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.84 for Lincoln Red Imps FC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Brann
- at Valerenga18 Oct · Eliteserienwin 41%
- at Kauno Žalgiris22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 42%
- at Lillestrom25 Oct · Eliteserienwin 37%
- vs Molde1 Nov · Eliteserienwin 43%
Lincoln Red Imps FC
- vs Twente22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 17%
- vs HNK Hajduk Split5 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 27%
- at Egnatia Rrogozhinë26 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 28%
- vs FC Midtjylland10 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 20%
- at Monaco17 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 7%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.