20 July 2026

Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia First League prediction & result

Full time1 – 1

Final score: Botev Plovdiv 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia.

Before kick-off the model made it 60% Botev Plovdiv, 16% draw, 24% Lokomotiv Sofia — fair odds of 1.67, 6.25 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Botev Plovdiv at 60% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
🔁B. Katsarovout: K. Kostov
43'
D. Kostadinov
46'
🔁M. Papazovout: N. Penev
49'
⚽D. Kostadinovassist: A. Lyaskov
🔁V. Vidolovout: E. Silva
53'
🔁D. Tonevout: G. Milanov
53'
67'
🔁K. Kostovout: K. Miloshev
🔁A. Chandarovout: C. Meotti
67'
🔁C. Algarraout: Mascote
78'
⚽C. Meottiassist: S. Kalu
79'
B. Hein
84'
86'
🔁K. Stanoevout: K. Chachev
86'
G. Minchev
86'
🔁G. Minchevout: A. Taoui
89'
N. Penev
90+5'
•K. Miloshev

Line-ups

Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
  • 29Daniel NaumovG
  • 41Veliyan VidolovM
  • 20Timothy AwanyD
  • 4Nikola SoldoD
  • 27Bryan-Anthony Chibuike HeinD
  • 14Carlos Algarra LópezM
  • 10Asen ChandarovM
  • 88Williams Chimezie OluebubeF
  • 19Dimitar TonevM
  • 90Samuel KaluM
  • 9Chidera Micheal OkohF
Substitutes
  • 17Georgi MilanovM
  • 45Edson SilvaM
  • 44Carlos MeottiM
  • 30Franklin MascoteF
  • 1Hristiyan SlavkovG
  • 82Vladimir MendesD
  • 15Bogdan KostovD
  • 6Ivaylo VidevD
  • 87Simeon PetrovD
Coach: Stanislav Genchev
Lokomotiv Sofia 4-2-3-1
  • 99Martin VelichkovG
  • 22Reyan DaskalovD
  • 44Bozhidar KatsarovD
  • 91Ryan BidoungaD
  • 14Angel LyaskovD
  • 5Erol DostM
  • 31Krasimir StanoevM
  • 7Spas DelevM
  • 20Dimitar KostadinovM
  • 17Mark Emilio PapazovM
  • 10Georgi MinchevF
Substitutes
  • 3Kaloyan KostovD
  • 71Nikolas PenevM
  • 26Krasimir MiloshevM
  • 21Kristian ChachevM
  • 11Adil TaouiM
  • 24Aleksandar LyubenovG
  • 19Mitko MitkovD
  • 45Gerov EmilF
  • 77Caue Caruzo AlvesF
Coach: Lyuboslav Penev

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Botev Plovdiv94141314-113
13Lokomotiv Sofia80441016-64

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia

  • 21 July 2026Botev Plovdiv 1–1 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
  • 27 March 2026Botev Plovdiv 3–1 Lokomotiv SofiaFriendlies Clubs
  • 6 December 2025Lokomotiv Sofia 3–2 Botev PlovdivFirst League
  • 10 August 2025Botev Plovdiv 0–1 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
  • 18 April 2025Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
  • 15 December 2024Lokomotiv Sofia 1–5 Botev PlovdivCup
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.