18 July 2026

Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali First League prediction & result

Full time1 – 1

Final score: Septemvri Sofia 1-1 Arda Kardzhali.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Septemvri Sofia, 29% draw, 29% Arda Kardzhali — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Septemvri Sofia at 42% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
⚽B. Karagaren
🔁P. Georgievout: G. Ivanov
24'
Y. Baurenski
34'
40'
D. Idowu
🔁Z. A. Atanasovout: A. Dzhamov
46'
⚽S. Wade
53'
K. Onasci
55'
62'
🔁S. Vasilevout: A. Kabov
🔁F. Herardout: S. Stoichkov
64'
72'
B. Karagaren
73'
🔁A. Vutovout: V. Popov
🔁E. Ribeiroout: A. Liberal
86'
87'
🔁D. Velkovskiout: B. Akandzha
90+3'
V. Lyubenov

Line-ups

Septemvri Sofia 3-4-1-2
  • 12Vladimir IvanovG
  • 4Martin HristovD
  • 13Kubrat OnashchiD
  • 3Sebas WadeD
  • 24Zahari AtanasovM
  • 22Preslav GeorgievM
  • 6Pedro FerreiraM
  • 8Bozhidar PenchevD
  • 5Yoan BaurenskiM
  • 29Frantzety HerardF
  • 7Edney RibeiroF
Substitutes
  • 33Galin IvanovM
  • 11Aleksandar DzhamovF
  • 28Stoyan StoichkovM
  • 99André LiberalF
  • 12Nikolay KrastevG
  • 20Bozhidar TomovskiD
  • 26Valentine OzornwaforD
  • 23Borislav StoichkovD
  • 30Viktor DobrevM
Coach: Simao Freitas
Arda Kardzhali 4-2-3-1
  • 1Anatoli GospodinovG
  • 21Vyacheslav VelevD
  • 88Adama Ardile TraoréD
  • 5Viktor LyubenovD
  • 35Dimitar VelkovskiD
  • 80Lachezar KotevM
  • 4Idowu David AkintolaM
  • 99Birsent KaragarenM
  • 39Antonio VutovM
  • 14Simeon VasilevD
  • 10Svetoslav KovachevM
Substitutes
  • 8Atanas KabovM
  • 26Viktor PopovD
  • 26Burak AkandzhaM
  • 22Yanko GeorgievG
  • 24Martin PaskalevD
Coach: Blagov Tunchev Aleksander

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Septemvri Sofia9225815-78
5Arda Kardzhali95131411+316

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali

  • 18 July 2026Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
  • 21 March 2026Septemvri Sofia 1–4 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
  • 20 October 2025Arda Kardzhali 0–1 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
  • 8 July 2025Arda Kardzhali 1–2 Septemvri SofiaFriendlies Clubs
  • 7 April 2025Septemvri Sofia 0–4 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
  • 25 October 2024Arda Kardzhali 2–1 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.