18 July 2026

Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali First League prediction & result

Full time1 – 1

Final score: Septemvri Sofia 1-1 Arda Kardzhali.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Septemvri Sofia, 29% draw, 29% Arda Kardzhali — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Septemvri Sofia at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
⚽B. Karagaren
🔁P. Georgievout: G. Ivanov
24'
Y. Baurenski
34'
40'
D. Idowu
🔁Z. A. Atanasovout: A. Dzhamov
46'
⚽S. Wade
53'
K. Onasci
55'
62'
🔁S. Vasilevout: A. Kabov
🔁F. Herardout: S. Stoichkov
64'
72'
B. Karagaren
73'
🔁A. Vutovout: V. Popov
🔁E. Ribeiroout: A. Liberal
86'
87'
🔁D. Velkovskiout: B. Akandzha
90+3'
V. Lyubenov

Line-ups

Septemvri Sofia 3-4-1-2
  • 12Vladimir IvanovG
  • 4Martin HristovD
  • 13Kubrat OnashchiD
  • 3Sebas WadeD
  • 24Zahari AtanasovM
  • 22Preslav GeorgievM
  • 6Pedro FerreiraM
  • 8Bozhidar PenchevD
  • 5Yoan BaurenskiM
  • 29Frantzety HerardF
  • 7Edney RibeiroF
Substitutes
  • 33Galin IvanovM
  • 11Aleksandar DzhamovF
  • 28Stoyan StoichkovM
  • 99André LiberalF
  • 12Nikolay KrastevG
  • 20Bozhidar TomovskiD
  • 26Valentine OzornwaforD
  • 23Borislav StoichkovD
  • 30Viktor DobrevM
Coach: Simao Freitas
Arda Kardzhali 4-2-3-1
  • 1Anatoli GospodinovG
  • 21Vyacheslav VelevD
  • 88Adama Ardile TraoréD
  • 5Viktor LyubenovD
  • 35Dimitar VelkovskiD
  • 80Lachezar KotevM
  • 4Idowu David AkintolaM
  • 99Birsent KaragarenM
  • 39Antonio VutovM
  • 14Simeon VasilevD
  • 10Svetoslav KovachevM
Substitutes
  • 8Atanas KabovM
  • 26Viktor PopovD
  • 26Burak AkandzhaM
  • 22Yanko GeorgievG
  • 24Martin PaskalevD
Coach: Blagov Tunchev Aleksander

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Septemvri Sofia122281023-138
6Arda Kardzhali125341618-218

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali

  • 21 March 2026Septemvri Sofia 1–4 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
  • 20 October 2025Arda Kardzhali 0–1 Septemvri SofiaFirst League
  • 8 July 2025Arda Kardzhali 1–2 Septemvri SofiaFriendlies Clubs
  • 7 April 2025Septemvri Sofia 0–4 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
  • 25 October 2024Arda Kardzhali 2–1 Septemvri SofiaFirst League

Leading scorers: Septemvri Sofia and Arda Kardzhali

Septemvri Sofia

GoalsAssists

  • André Filipe Rio Liberal11
  • F. Herard10
  • A. Dzhamov10

Arda Kardzhali

GoalsAssists

  • B. Karagaren11
  • S. Kovachev10
  • A. Kabov10

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.