18 July 2026

Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv First League prediction & result

Full time1 – 0

Final score: Ludogorets 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% Ludogorets, 29% draw, 19% Lokomotiv Plovdiv — fair odds of 1.92, 3.45 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Ludogorets at 52% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽I. Chochev
45+1'
56'
🔁P. Umarbaevout: M. Trdan
🔁K. Duahout: Rwan Cruz
65'
🔁I. Chochevout: P. Stanic
65'
67'
Lucas Ryan
🔁B. Tekpeteyout: S. Ivanov
73'
🔁S. Shishkovout: J. Andersson
80'
🔁A. Salido Tajeroout: Vinicius Nogueira
80'
80'
🔁T. Pavlovout: M. Petrovic
80'
🔁J. Lamyout: A. Velev
A. Camara
81'
J. Andersson
82'
84'
🔁S. Idrizout: C. Longville
84'
🔁E. Mishevout: Z. Dinev
85'
•C. Longville

Line-ups

Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
  • 39Hendrik BonmannG
  • 17SonD
  • 55Idan NachmiasD
  • 15Edvin KurtulusD
  • 42Simeon ShishkovD
  • 20Aguibou CamaraM
  • 26Filip KaločM
  • 37Bernard TekpeteyM
  • 18Ivajlo ChochevM
  • 7Alberto SalidoF
  • 9Kwadwo DuahF
Substitutes
  • 14Petar StanićM
  • 12Rwan CruzF
  • 99Stanislav IvanovM
  • 2Joel AnderssonD
  • 27Vinicius NogueiraD
  • 1Sergio PadtG
  • 24Olivier VerdonD
  • 3Anton NedyalkovD
  • 10Emerson RodríguezM
Coach: Mikael Stahre
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
  • 1Bojan MilosavljevićG
  • 4Andrei ChindrişD
  • 2Adrián CovaD
  • 13Lucas RyanD
  • 5Todor PavlovD
  • 12Efe AliM
  • 22Ivaylo IvanovM
  • 7Sevi IdrizM
  • 39Parvizdzhon UmarbaevM
  • 94Cătălin ItuM
  • 99Julien LamyM
Substitutes
  • 3Miha TrdanM
  • Milan PetrovicD
  • 9Axel VelevF
  • 11Zapro DinevF
  • 23Christ LongvilleF
  • 40Petar ZovkoG
  • 16Radoslav PalazovD
  • Denis KirashkiD
  • 19Mariyan VangelovF
Coach: Dusan Kosic

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Ludogorets9720167+923
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv9207412-86

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

  • 18 July 2026Ludogorets 1–0 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
  • 29 May 2026Ludogorets 0–0 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
  • 2 March 2026Ludogorets 1–1 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
  • 14 September 2025Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 LudogoretsFirst League
  • 30 March 2025Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 LudogoretsFirst League
  • 6 October 2024Ludogorets 1–0 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.