18 July 2026

Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv First League prediction & result

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Final score: Ludogorets 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% Ludogorets, 29% draw, 19% Lokomotiv Plovdiv — fair odds of 1.92, 3.45 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Ludogorets at 52% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽I. Chochev
45+1'
56'
🔁P. Umarbaevout: M. Trdan
🔁K. Duahout: Rwan Cruz
65'
🔁I. Chochevout: P. Stanic
65'
67'
Lucas Ryan
🔁B. Tekpeteyout: S. Ivanov
73'
🔁S. Shishkovout: J. Andersson
80'
🔁A. Salido Tajeroout: Vinicius Nogueira
80'
80'
🔁T. Pavlovout: M. Petrovic
80'
🔁J. Lamyout: A. Velev
A. Camara
81'
J. Andersson
82'
84'
🔁S. Idrizout: C. Longville
84'
🔁E. Mishevout: Z. Dinev
85'
•C. Longville

Line-ups

Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
  • 39Hendrik BonmannG
  • 17SonD
  • 55Idan NachmiasD
  • 15Edvin KurtulusD
  • 42Simeon ShishkovD
  • 20Aguibou CamaraM
  • 26Filip KaločM
  • 37Bernard TekpeteyM
  • 18Ivajlo ChochevM
  • 7Alberto SalidoF
  • 9Kwadwo DuahF
Substitutes
  • 14Petar StanićM
  • 12Rwan CruzF
  • 99Stanislav IvanovM
  • 2Joel AnderssonD
  • 27Vinicius NogueiraD
  • 1Sergio PadtG
  • 24Olivier VerdonD
  • 3Anton NedyalkovD
  • 10Emerson RodríguezM
Coach: Mikael Stahre
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
  • 1Bojan MilosavljevićG
  • 4Andrei ChindrişD
  • 2Adrián CovaD
  • 13Lucas RyanD
  • 5Todor PavlovD
  • 12Efe AliM
  • 22Ivaylo IvanovM
  • 7Sevi IdrizM
  • 39Parvizdzhon UmarbaevM
  • 94Cătălin ItuM
  • 99Julien LamyM
Substitutes
  • 3Miha TrdanM
  • Milan PetrovicD
  • 9Axel VelevF
  • 11Zapro DinevF
  • 23Christ LongvilleF
  • 40Petar ZovkoG
  • 16Radoslav PalazovD
  • Denis KirashkiD
  • 19Mariyan VangelovF
Coach: Dusan Kosic

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Ludogorets11821219+1226
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv12237614-89

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

  • 29 May 2026Ludogorets 0–0 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
  • 2 March 2026Ludogorets 1–1 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
  • 14 September 2025Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 LudogoretsFirst League
  • 30 March 2025Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 LudogoretsFirst League
  • 6 October 2024Ludogorets 1–0 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League

Leading scorers: Ludogorets and Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Ludogorets

GoalsAssists

  • B. Tekpetey20
  • Rwan Cruz12

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

No player in First League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.