10 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Fakel vs Akhmat Premier League prediction & result

Fakel Stadium, Voronezh
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Fakel 0-0 Akhmat.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Fakel, 19% draw, 26% Akhmat — fair odds of 1.82, 5.26 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Fakel at 55%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Fakel7%Draw88%Akhmat5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁M. Turishchevout: B. Pusi
37'
Alexey Sutormin
52'
🔁N. Giorgobianiout: B. Magomedov
58'
🔁A. Sutorminout: A. Kovalev
58'
59'
🔁K. Shchetininout: I. Silva
66'
🔁G. Melkadzeout: E. Maksuti
68'
Erald Maksuti
Darko Todorović
76'
🔁V. Yakimovout: A. Bagamaev
84'
🔁D. Todorovicout: A. Gnapi Dable
84'
90+2'
🔁L. Sadulaevout: M. Keliano

Match stats — Fakel vs Akhmat

54%Possession46%
13Shots12
3On target2
10Corners4

Line-ups

Fakel 5-3-2
  • 1D. FrolkinG
  • 55D. TodorovicD
  • 5A. GabaraevD
  • 20I. YurganovD
  • 53M. BardachevD
  • 10I. AlshinD
  • 23V. YakimovM
  • 11A. SutorminM
  • 52R. NetfullinM
  • 7M. TurishchevF
  • 99N. GiorgobianiF
Substitutes
  • 96I. ObukhovG
  • 35V. DorovskikhG
  • 8A. BagamaevM
  • 9A. Gnapi DableF
  • 18K. SimonovM
  • 93M. UridiaF
  • 44Y. ZhuravlevD
  • 97B. MagomedovM
  • 17A. KovalevM
Coach: Oleg Vasilenko
Akhmat 4-2-3-1
  • 1V. UlyanovG
  • 95A. AdamovD
  • 90O. NdongD
  • 5K. CakeD
  • 8M. BogosavacD
  • 4T. IbishevM
  • 18J. RomaoM
  • 20M. SamorodovM
  • 10K. ShchetininM
  • 7L. SadulaevM
  • 77G. MelkadzeF
Substitutes
  • 88G. SheliaG
  • 71R. MitsaevG
  • 11I. SilvaM
  • 23G. KenzhebekM
  • 42M. KelianoM
  • 81M. SidorovD
  • 70A. GadzhievM
  • 76E. MaksutiF
  • 97A. KasadzhikovF
Coach: Stanislav Cherchesov

Russia Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Fakel141310923-146
12Akhmat143561619-314

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Fakel vs Akhmat

  • 5 April 2025Fakel 0–0 AkhmatPremier League
  • 18 October 2024Akhmat 2–3 FakelPremier League
  • 25 May 2024Fakel Voronezh 2–0 Akhmat GroznyPremier League
  • 4 November 2023Akhmat Grozny 1–2 Fakel VoronezhPremier League
  • 16 April 2023Fakel Voronezh 1–1 Akhmat GroznyPremier League

Leading scorers: Fakel and Akhmat

Fakel

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Akhmat

GoalsAssists

  • L. Sadulaev33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Fakel and Akhmat drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Fakel at 55% and given a draw 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.