Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Botev Plovdiv 1-3 Levski Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Botev Plovdiv, 30% draw, 38% Levski Sofia — fair odds of 3.13, 3.33 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Levski Sofia at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 29D. NaumovG
- 82V. MendesD
- 87S. PetrovD
- 4N. SoldoD
- 27B. HeinD
- 77Lucas AraujoM
- 10A. ChandarovM
- 66C. MeottiM
- 19M. RodriguesM
- 90S. KaluM
- 13S. Tsonov
- 21N. Prandzhev
- 15B. KostovD
- 20T. AwanyD
- 22M. SengerD
- 16V. VidolovM
- 17G. Milanov
- 23D. TonevM
- 28H. JocuM
- 88W. ChimezieF
- 92S. VutsovG
- 2S. HeverttonD
- 50K. DimitrovD
- 4C. MakounD
- 3MaiconD
- 35SerginhoM
- 8M. GrujicM
- 19M. MoubarikM
- 22M. SoulaM
- 11A. Oko-FlexM
- 28S. StoyanchovF
- 1O. VladimirovG
- 20A. CentellesD
- 21A. NevesD
- 31N. SerafimovD
- 10A. MitkovM
- 18G. TrdinM
- 27D. KussoM
- 77A. RaychevM
- 7ReinaldoF
Form going into Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Botev Vratsa24 August 2026
- L0-2away to Ludogorets15 August 2026
- W3-2Spartak Varna10 August 2026
- W1-0Cherno More Varna1 August 2026
- L2-3away to CSKA Sofia27 July 2026
Levski Sofia
All competitions we cover
- L0-4away to AEK Athens FC26 August 2026
- W6-0Spartak Varna22 August 2026
- D0-0AEK Athens FC18 August 2026
- W1-0away to Kairat Almaty11 August 2026
- W2-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv7 August 2026
What these results say
- Botev Plovdiv conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Levski Sofia kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 23 |
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | +17 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia
- 15 February 2026Levski Sofia 3–0 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 30 September 2025Botev Plovdiv 0–1 Levski SofiaFirst League
- 30 March 2025Levski Sofia 1–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 5 October 2024Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Levski SofiaFirst League
- 12 November 2023Levski Sofia 1–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 22 July 2023Botev Plovdiv 1–3 Levski SofiaFirst League
Leading scorers: Botev Plovdiv and Levski Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
GoalsAssists
- C. Meotti10
Levski Sofia
No player in First League's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Levski Sofia won 3–1 at Botev Plovdiv. The model had made a win for Levski Sofia its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: M. Grujic 51' for Levski Sofia, A. Neves 59' for Levski Sofia, A. Chandarov 64' for Botev Plovdiv, Reinaldo 90' for Levski Sofia.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.