Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Botev Plovdiv 1-3 Levski Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Botev Plovdiv, 30% draw, 38% Levski Sofia — fair odds of 3.13, 3.33 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Levski Sofia at 38% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
- L0-1away to Botev Vratsa24 August 2026
- L0-2away to Ludogorets15 August 2026
Levski Sofia
- W6-0Spartak Varna22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia
- 15 February 2026Levski Sofia 3–0 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 30 September 2025Botev Plovdiv 0–1 Levski SofiaFirst League
- 30 March 2025Levski Sofia 1–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 5 October 2024Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Levski SofiaFirst League
- 12 November 2023Levski Sofia 1–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 22 July 2023Botev Plovdiv 1–3 Levski SofiaFirst League