17 July 2026

Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad Eliteserien prediction & result

Full time1 – 0

Final score: Bodo/Glimt 1-0 Fredrikstad.

Before kick-off the model made it 78% Bodo/Glimt, 14% draw, 8% Fredrikstad — fair odds of 1.28, 7.14 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Bodo/Glimt at 78% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

44'
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
•Ola Brynhildsen
45+1'
⚽O. Blomberg (pen)
45'
46'
🔁S. Laghzaouiout: G. Wesseh
50'
Benjamin Faraas
58'
🔁L. Owusuout: O. Skari Hansen
Sondre Auklend
59'
🔁J. Kitolanoout: P. Berg
69'
🔁O. Brynhildsenout: J. Hauge
69'
🔁K. Hoghout: A. Helmersen
69'
75'
🔁B. Faraasout: J. Nunez
75'
🔁F. Ghebreyohannesout: J. Nysveen
80'
Simen Rafn
•Jens Petter Hauge
82'
⚽
82'
🔁O. Blombergout: F. Bjorkan
83'
86'
🔁S. Rafnout: A. Andresen
88'
Martin Borsheim
🔁S. Auklendout: U. Saltnes
90+2'

Match stats — Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad

66%Possession34%
20Shots2
5On target0
12Corners0
2.24xG0.12

Goals against chances

Bodo/Glimt1 from 2.24 xGless than the chances were worth
Fredrikstad0 from 0.12 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt 4-4-2
  • 12N. HaikinG
  • 20F. SjovoldD
  • 4O. L. BjortuftD
  • 6J. GundersenD
  • 25I. MaattaD
  • 8S. AuklendM
  • 16J. KitolanoM
  • 19S. FetM
  • 17O. BrynhildsenM
  • 11O. BlombergF
  • 9K. HoghF
Substitutes
  • 1J. LundG
  • 14U. SaltnesM
  • 7P. BergM
  • 15F. BjorkanD
  • 10J. HaugeM
  • 5H. AleesamiD
  • 21A. HelmersenF
  • 26H. EvjenM
  • 77M. Bro HansenF
Coach: Kjetil Knutsen
Fredrikstad 3-4-3
  • 77M. BorsheimG
  • 5S. RafnD
  • 4F. HolmeD
  • 12U. FredriksenD
  • 16D. EidM
  • 24L. OwusuM
  • 14M. NilssonM
  • 19F. GhebreyohannesM
  • 7B. FaraasF
  • 23H. SkogvoldF
  • 9S. LaghzaouiF
Substitutes
  • 1O. OvretveitG
  • 10J. NunezF
  • 26J. NysveenD
  • 2K. OkpalekeD
  • 3A. AndresenD
  • 18J. NorbyeD
  • 29G. WessehM
  • 37O. Skari HansenM
Coach: Andreas Hagen

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt2016225217+3550
7Fredrikstad208392431-727

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad

  • 17 July 2026Bodo/Glimt 1–0 FredrikstadEliteserien
  • 30 November 2025Bodo/Glimt 5–0 FredrikstadEliteserien
  • 16 July 2025Fredrikstad 0–1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 10 November 2024Bodo/Glimt 2–2 FredrikstadEliteserien
  • 1 April 2024Fredrikstad 0–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 16 August 2017Bodo/Glimt 4–0 Fredrikstad1. Division

Leading scorers: Bodo/Glimt and Fredrikstad

Bodo/Glimt

  • A. Helmersen8 goals1 assists
  • K. Høgh7 goals4 assists

Fredrikstad

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 24 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.