6 September 2026, 11:00 UTC

Birmingham vs Wolves Championship prediction & result

Birmingham
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Birmingham 2-2 Wolves.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Birmingham, 29% draw, 38% Wolves — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Wolves at 38% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
⚽Fer Lópezassist: Rodrigo Gomes
⚽Jay Stansfieldassist: Patrick Roberts
22'
31'
⚽Ladislav Krejčíassist: André
⚽Jackson Tchatchoua (OG)
36'
51'
Marshall Munetsi
Christoph·Klarer
53'
Phil Neumann
67'
68'
🔁Marshall Munetsiout: Jordan James
68'
🔁Rodrigo Gomesout: Mateus Mane
🔁Liam Millarout: Demarai Gray
69'
76'
🔁Raúl Jiménezout: Thomas Doyle
🔁Jay Stansfieldout: Marvin Ducksch
81'
🔁Patrick Robertsout: Carlos Vicente
81'
🔁August Priskeout: Luis Vasquez
81'
87'
🔁Adam Armstrongout: Sean Neave
87'
🔁Andréout: Boubacar Traore
🔁Demarai Grayout: Ethan Laird
90+2'

Match stats — Birmingham vs Wolves

53%Possession47%
15Shots10
5On target4
8Corners4

Line-ups

Birmingham 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. BeadleG
  • 26B. Osayi-SamuelD
  • 5P. NeumannD
  • 4C. KlarerD
  • 20A. CochraneD
  • 8Paik Seung-HoM
  • 24T. IwataM
  • 16P. RobertsM
  • 28J. StansfieldM
  • 17L. MillarM
  • 9A. PriskeF
Substitutes
  • 33M. DuckschF
  • 25K. LundD
  • 21R. AllsopG
  • 2E. LairdD
  • 32L. VázquezF
  • 10D. GrayF
  • 27K. FujimotoM
  • 23D. FryD
  • 7Carlos VicenteF
Coach: C. Davies
Wolves 4-2-3-1
  • 1José SáG
  • 38J. TchatchouaD
  • 34N. DjigaD
  • 37L. KrejčíD
  • 3Hugo BuenoD
  • 7AndréM
  • 5M. MunetsiM
  • 21Rodrigo GomesM
  • 28Fer LópezM
  • 10A. ArmstrongM
  • 9R. JiménezF
Substitutes
  • 23T. ChirewaF
  • 20T. DoyleM
  • 8J. JamesM
  • 33G. KonanD
  • 36M. ManeF
  • 14S. NeaveF
  • 24Toti GomesD
  • 12B. TraoréM
  • 13João VirgíniaG
Coach: César Peixoto

Form going into Birmingham vs Wolves

Birmingham

  • D1-1Southampton1 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Wrexham28 August 2026
  • D2-2Bristol City22 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Sheffield Utd15 August 2026

Wolves

  • L2-4away to West Ham1 September 2026
  • W4-1Stoke City29 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Preston22 August 2026
  • D2-2Blackburn14 August 2026

What these results say

  • Birmingham went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Birmingham failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Birmingham scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Wolves scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Wolves conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Wolves had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Birmingham104511711+617
9Wolves94231614+214

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Birmingham vs Wolves

  • 6 September 2026Birmingham 2–2 WolvesChampionship
  • 15 April 2018Wolves 2–0 BirminghamChampionship
  • 4 December 2017Birmingham 0–1 WolvesChampionship
  • 24 February 2017Wolves 1–2 BirminghamChampionship
  • 20 August 2016Birmingham 1–3 WolvesChampionship
  • 13 March 2016Wolves 0–0 BirminghamChampionship

The full Birmingham vs Wolves record →

Leading scorers: Birmingham and Wolves

Birmingham

GoalsAssists

  • A. Priske41

Wolves

GoalsAssists

  • Fer López42

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.