Ben Aknoun
vs
CR Belouizdad
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: Ben Aknoun 1–2 CR Belouizdad
The model makes it 32% Ben Aknoun, 25% draw, 43% CR Belouizdad — fair odds of 3.13, 4.00 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Ben Aknoun 1.58, CR Belouizdad 1.88.
Both teams to score: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Edge to CR Belouizdad: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Ben Aknoun are 8th on 6 points from 4 games; CR Belouizdad are top on 13 points from 5 games — Ligue 1.
- Ben Aknoun are unbeaten in their last 4 games (1 won), most recently a 2-2 draw at home to JS El Biar.
- CR Belouizdad are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 3-2 win away to JS El Biar.
- Last 4 meetings: CR Belouizdad 3 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 24 May 2026, ended CR Belouizdad 3–1 Ben Aknoun.
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Ben Aknoun vs CR Belouizdad
Has the model earned this number?
It puts CR Belouizdad at 43% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Ben Aknoun vs CR Belouizdad
Ben Aknoun
- D2-2JS El Biar7 October 2026
- D1-1away to Khenchela18 September 2026
- D2-2US Biskra10 September 2026
- W1-0away to ES Setif3 September 2026
CR Belouizdad
- W3-2away to JS El Biar12 October 2026
- W1-0Khenchela7 October 2026
- W1-0away to US Biskra17 September 2026
- W1-0ES Setif11 September 2026
- D3-3away to ASO Chlef5 September 2026
What these results say
- Ben Aknoun went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Ben Aknoun scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Ben Aknoun failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- CR Belouizdad went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- CR Belouizdad scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- CR Belouizdad won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ben Aknoun | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Ben Aknoun vs CR Belouizdad
- 24 May 2026CR Belouizdad 3–1 Ben AknounLigue 1
- 3 January 2026Ben Aknoun 0–2 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
- 11 May 2024CR Belouizdad 1–0 Ben AknounLigue 1
- 15 December 2023Ben Aknoun 1–1 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
The two sides
Ben Aknoun carry a model rating of 6.29 against 6.52 for CR Belouizdad. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.58 goals for Ben Aknoun and 1.88 for CR Belouizdad. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Ben Aknoun rate 0.66 in attack and 2.05 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; CR Belouizdad rate 0.76 and 1.47.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CR Belouizdad the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.58 expected goals for Ben Aknoun against 1.88 for CR Belouizdad. Ben Aknoun's attack/defence rating is 0.66/2.05 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.76/1.47 for CR Belouizdad.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Ben Aknoun at home · CR Belouizdad away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: Ben Aknoun 4, CR Belouizdad 5.
Ben Aknoun score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); CR Belouizdad have let in 0 there.
CR Belouizdad score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); Ben Aknoun have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Ben Aknoun
- at JS Saoura24 Oct · Ligue 1win 28%
- at CS Constantine31 Oct · Ligue 1win 29%
CR Belouizdad
- at USM Alger29 Oct · Ligue 1win 36%
- at MB Rouisset31 Oct · Ligue 1win 39%
- vs CS Constantine7 Nov · Ligue 1win 61%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.