20 September 2026, 22:15 UTC

Belgrano Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra, Cordoba
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Belgrano Cordoba, 29% draw, 28% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Belgrano Cordoba at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Belgrano Cordoba4%Draw93%Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Lisandro López
44'
🔁A. J. Benitez Cabreraout: L. Passerini
46'
🔁N. Fernandezout: L. Gutierrez
66'
🔁F. Vazquezout: F. Gonzalez
66'
73'
🔁I. Hesarout: J. Ferreira
74'
🔁M. Valienteout: M. Garnerone
74'
⚽M. Garnerone
🔁S. Longoout: R. Hernandes
75'
🔁J. Velazquezout: G. Zelarayan
80'
80'
🔁F. Rodriguezout: F. Cobos
⚽L. Gutierrezassist: F. Gonzalez
82'
Ramiro Hernandes
90+4'
90'
Juan Antonini
90'
Facundo Cobos
⚽L. Passeriniassist: L. Zelarayan
90'

Match stats — Belgrano Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

63%Possession37%
15Shots16
6On target5
6Corners5
1.01xG1.17

Goals against chances

Belgrano Cordoba2 from 1.01 xGmore than the chances were worth
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1 from 1.17 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Belgrano Cordoba 4-2-3-1
  • 25T. CardozoG
  • 26A. J. Benitez CabreraD
  • 14L. MoralesD
  • 17L. LopezD
  • 16F. RiccaD
  • 5S. LongoM
  • 20F. VazquezM
  • 24E. RigoniM
  • 10L. ZelarayanM
  • 53J. VelazquezM
  • 22N. FernandezF
Substitutes
  • 23M. VicentiniG
  • 2A. MaldonadoD
  • 13A. OcampoD
  • 4A. Griguol
  • 59J. FlandesD
  • 8R. Hernandes
  • 37L. GutierrezF
  • 19S. Gatti
  • 9L. PasseriniF
Coach: Ricardo Zielinski
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3-1-4-2
  • 43A. LastraG
  • 6J. AntoniniD
  • 2G. MaffiniD
  • 31M. ValentiD
  • 5A. CabreraM
  • 14G. GonzalezM
  • 10T. GonzalezM
  • 17G. AlanisM
  • 23F. RodriguezM
  • 22M. ValienteF
  • 77I. HesarF
Substitutes
  • 1L. BrueraG
  • 3L. BanosD
  • 28F. CobosD
  • 29A. QuirogaD
  • 8S. RosaneM
  • 19N. TalponeM
  • 11M. GarneroneF
  • 99J. ChalaM
  • 9J. FerreiraF
Coach: Ruben Forestello

Form going into Belgrano Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Belgrano Cordoba

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Sarmiento Junin13 September 2026
  • D1-1Huracan4 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Atletico Tucuman30 August 2026
  • L1-2Defensa Y Justicia23 August 2026
  • W2-0Independiente Rivadavia15 August 2026

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Instituto Cordoba15 September 2026
  • L0-2Sarmiento Junin4 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Huracan29 August 2026
  • D0-0San Lorenzo21 August 2026
  • L0-1Atletico Tucuman17 August 2026

What these results say

  • Belgrano Cordoba failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Belgrano Cordoba scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Belgrano Cordoba had two goals or fewer.
  • Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Belgrano Cordoba146441411+322
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto14239919-109

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Belgrano Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

  • 12 March 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 19 June 2022Belgrano Cordoba 0–0 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoPrimera Nacional
  • 19 October 2021Belgrano Cordoba 1–1 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoPrimera Nacional
  • 22 June 2021Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 Belgrano CordobaPrimera Nacional

The full Belgrano Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto record →

The result against the call

Belgrano Cordoba beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2–1. The model had made a win for Belgrano Cordoba its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: M. Garnerone 74' for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, L. Gutierrez 82' for Belgrano Cordoba, L. Passerini 90' for Belgrano Cordoba. On expected goals it finished 1.01–1.17.

How the call on Belgrano Cordoba v Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto has moved

First published on 6 Sep at 44% / 30% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 43% / 29% / 28%: the biggest move is Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Belgrano Cordoba win43%▼ −1
  2. Draw29%▼ −1
  3. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win28%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.