Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas Primera División prediction & result
Final score: Atletico Grau 0-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Atletico Grau, 27% draw, 22% Club Deportivo Los Chankas — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atletico Grau at 51% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Line-ups
- 1P. ÁlvarezG
- 27R. TapiaD
- 3I. TapiaD
- 16J. AtaupillcoD
- 25G. AlfaroD
- 5R. GuarderasM
- 13F. OncoyM
- 8C. VásquezM
- 20A. VásquezM
- 24Yamir Ruidíaz MisitichM
- 99A. FernándezF
- 96L. BenítesM
- 7D. BarretoM
- 2L. AcevedoD
- 33J. CalderónG
- 21E. CorreaM
- 17H. EspinozaM
- 15P. LavandeiraM
- 6E. RodasD
- 9R. RuidíazF
- 1H. CamachoG
- 33C. PimientaD
- 2H. GonzálezD
- 24G. RizzoD
- 27K. BarriosD
- 18O. TakeuchiM
- 7J. OspinaM
- 5J. PalominoM
- 6A. AyarzaM
- 10F. TorresF
- 20M. TorresF
- 4A. CamposM
- 16A. ChávezD
- 77F. EspinozaF
- 15K. SánchezM
- 26D. GonzálesD
- 14B. GuevaraD
- 30M. KaufmanD
- 12L. PretelG
- 11J. QuinteroF
Form going into Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Atletico Grau
- L1-3away to Sporting Cristal19 September 2026
- W3-1Alianza Atletico13 September 2026
- L2-4away to Deportivo Garcilaso6 September 2026
- W1-0FBC Melgar1 September 2026
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
- D1-1away to Cienciano30 September 2026
- L1-2FC Cajamarca12 September 2026
- L0-5away to Sporting Cristal6 September 2026
- L3-4Juan Pablo II College29 August 2026
What these results say
- Atletico Grau scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Atletico Grau conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Atletico Grau had three goals or more.
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
- 17 April 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–0 Atletico GrauPrimera División
- 10 August 2025Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3–2 Atletico GrauPrimera División
- 10 March 2025Atletico Grau 2–1 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
- 21 August 2024Atletico Grau 1–1 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
- 15 March 2024Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–1 Atletico GrauPrimera División
- 16 September 2021Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3–1 Atletico GrauSegunda División
Leading scorers: Atletico Grau and Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Atletico Grau
No player in Primera División's leading scorers — 26 league goals as a side.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
GoalsAssists
- F. Torres94
- J. Quintero61
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.