Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 Energie Cottbus.
Before kick-off the model made it 73% Arminia Bielefeld, 14% draw, 13% Energie Cottbus — fair odds of 1.37, 7.14 and 7.69.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Arminia Bielefeld at 73%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1J. KerskenG
- 7H. KoudossouD
- 5M. BauerD
- 19M. GrosserD
- 17A. SickerD
- 6M. MehlemM
- 14M. MomuluhM
- 38M. WorlM
- 21S. RussoM
- 10J. RocheltM
- 11J. GrodowskiF
- 18L. OppermannG
- 47P. HildesheimG
- 3J. FelixD
- 29T. HandwerkerD
- 8S. SchreckM
- 42T. WegenerM
- 30I. YoungF
- 28R. UldrikisF
- 27B. BoakyeF
- 1M. LotkaG
- 3H. RorigD
- 21L. ErleinD
- 5D. PelivanD
- 23F. DoumbiaD
- 10T. CigerciM
- 32L. BittencourtM
- 8L. MichelbrinkM
- 17J. GuttauM
- 7C. KinsombiF
- 9L. CopadoF
- 29K. KratzschG
- 42J. ZaydanD
- 16R. MaloneD
- 4T. CampulkaD
- 6J. HofmannM
- 22Y. WardakM
- 20A. BorgmannD
- 11M. HannemannF
- 31J. ButlerF
Form going into Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus
Arminia Bielefeld
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Karlsruher SC8 August 2026
Energie Cottbus
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Hannover 969 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 17 |
| 12 | Energie Cottbus | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus
- 18 January 2025Arminia Bielefeld 0–2 Energie Cottbus3. Liga
- 4 August 2024Energie Cottbus 1–2 Arminia Bielefeld3. Liga
- 4 April 2015Arminia Bielefeld 3–0 Energie Cottbus3. Liga
- 28 September 2014Energie Cottbus 1–1 Arminia Bielefeld3. Liga
- 23 March 2014Arminia Bielefeld 1–3 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Arminia Bielefeld and Energie Cottbus
Arminia Bielefeld
GoalsAssists
- J. Grodowski72
Energie Cottbus
GoalsAssists
- T. Ciğerci52
- J. Butler51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Arminia Bielefeld beat Energie Cottbus 3–0. The model had made a win for Arminia Bielefeld its most likely outcome, at 73%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–1. The goals: J. Grodowski 26' for Arminia Bielefeld, J. Grodowski 37' for Arminia Bielefeld, J. Grodowski (penalty) 76' for Arminia Bielefeld. On expected goals it finished 3.57–0.56.