Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Dynamo Dresden 1-0 SV Darmstadt 98.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Dynamo Dresden, 22% draw, 23% SV Darmstadt 98 — fair odds of 1.82, 4.55 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Dynamo Dresden at 55%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1T. SchreiberG
- 32J. SternerD
- 39T. KellerD
- 42F. MullerD
- 19A. RossipalD
- 18R. WagnerM
- 6N. RappM
- 11K. InanogluM
- 27N. HauptmannM
- 20B. BobzienM
- 9V. VermeijF
- 40E. BethkeG
- 44S. StraudiD
- 17A. MuhamedbegovicD
- 29L. BoederD
- 8L. HerrmannM
- 16N. FrolingF
- 25J. OehmichenM
- 33C. DafernerF
- 10J. LemmerM
- 1M. SchuhenG
- 28C. LannertD
- 6P. PfeifferD
- 20A. VukoticD
- 3F. KleinhanslD
- 17K. KlefischM
- 23C. SickingerM
- 7N. WeisshauptM
- 41L. DuijvestijnM
- 44Y. FurukawaM
- 36M. SmitF
- 30A. BrunstG
- 49Y. LuhrsD
- 4G. DettoniD
- 18R. PetrettaD
- 22L. KehlM
- 10N. VerkooijenM
- 9Lee Ho-JaeF
- 11I. El KadiriF
- 48M. MerxF
Form going into Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98
Dynamo Dresden
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to 1. FC Nürnberg9 August 2026
SV Darmstadt 98
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Holstein Kiel8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98
- 27 February 2026Dynamo Dresden 3–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 26 September 2025SV Darmstadt 98 2–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
- 30 October 2024Dynamo Dresden 2–3 SV Darmstadt 98DFB Pokal
- 26 February 2022Dynamo Dresden 0–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 19 September 2021SV Darmstadt 98 1–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
The result against the call
Dynamo Dresden beat SV Darmstadt 98 1–0. The model had made a win for Dynamo Dresden its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: J. Sterner 12' for Dynamo Dresden. Sent off: Kai Klefisch (SV Darmstadt 98) 71'. On expected goals it finished 0.64–0.38.