Hannover 96 vs VfL Wolfsburg 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Hannover 96 0-1 VfL Wolfsburg.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Hannover 96, 27% draw, 28% VfL Wolfsburg — fair odds of 2.22, 3.70 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Hannover 96 at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hannover 96 vs VfL Wolfsburg
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30L. WeinkaufG
- 17B. AllgeierD
- 3B. TomiakD
- 4J. HugonetD
- 33M. NeubauerM
- 23S. T. ThordarsonM
- 10M. HartelM
- 8W. TaibiM
- 7M. BunduF
- 25L. GindorfF
- 29K. OudenneF
- 1P. LoretzG
- 20I. OkonD
- 19W. KokoloD
- 13F. RoggowM
- 27H. MatsudaD
- 14H. ChakrounF
- 9B. KallmanF
- 11B. PichlerF
- 28T. EtcibasiF
- 30J. ZielinskiG
- 21J. MaehleD
- 32M. SvanbergD
- 6H. WahlD
- 37E. RexhbecajD
- 26S. KumbediD
- 31Y. GerhardtM
- 5Vini SouzaM
- 20M. DamarM
- 11F. ReeseM
- 10F. HornbyF
- 12P. PervanG
- 2K. FischerD
- 22M. AngelyD
- 18J. AdjeteyD
- 27M. ArnoldM
- 8B. DardaiM
- 19R. GlatzelF
- 23A. BesioF
- 7K. ShiogaiF
Form going into Hannover 96 vs VfL Wolfsburg
Hannover 96
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Energie Cottbus9 August 2026
VfL Wolfsburg
All competitions we cover
- D0-01. FC Kaiserslautern8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 16 | +10 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hannover 96 vs VfL Wolfsburg
- 6 September 2024VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 Hannover 96Friendlies Clubs
- 27 July 2024Hannover 96 3–2 VfL WolfsburgFriendlies Clubs
- 1 September 2021VfL Wolfsburg 3–3 Hannover 96Friendlies Clubs
- 6 April 2019VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 Hannover 96Bundesliga
- 9 November 2018Hannover 96 2–1 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Leading scorers: Hannover 96 and VfL Wolfsburg
Hannover 96
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
VfL Wolfsburg
GoalsAssists
- F. Reese57
- R. Glatzel51
- A. Bernhardsson43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
VfL Wolfsburg won 1–0 at Hannover 96. The model had leaned towards a win for Hannover 96 at 45% and given a win for VfL Wolfsburg 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: F. Reese (penalty) 87' for VfL Wolfsburg. On expected goals it finished 1.30–1.71.