Dila vs Apollon Limassol UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Dila 0-4 Apollon Limassol.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Dila, 34% draw, 24% Apollon Limassol — fair odds of 2.38, 2.94 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Apollon Limassol v Dila, 28 Jul →
Apollon Limassol went through 7–0 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dila at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Davit KereselidzeG
- 2Tedo KikabidzeD
- 13Joao Victor de Araujo CostaD
- 25Lamar YarbroughD
- 14Giorgi JalaghoniaD
- 8Lasha MenteshashviliM
- 27Alioune Oumar TallM
- 16Mamin SanyangM
- 10Otar ParulavaM
- 37Nana Kofi DonkorM
- 22Shota ShekiladzeF
- 15Georgii KobakhidzeM
- 9Mohamed KantéF
- 6Claude KouakouM
- 19Badri GogoberishviliM
- 12Luka SanikidzeG
- 5Maik PoeketieD
- 33Ramaric EtouD
- 7Franklin NyenetueM
- 21Zurab MuselianiF
- 22Philipp KühnG
- 76Bruno GasparD
- 37Leonidas KonomisD
- 44Josef KvidaD
- 14Giorgos MalekkidisD
- 77Ivan LjubićM
- 27Gaetan WeissbeckM
- 5Morgan BrownM
- 11Evangelos AndreouM
- 30Dani EscricheF
- 23Brandon ThomasM
- 9Alen OžboltF
- 26Antreas ShikkisD
- 38Konstantinos BalogiannisD
- 17Clinton DuoduM
- 20Danilo ŠpoljarićM
- 31Konstantinos StylianouG
- 41Peter LeeuwenburghG
- 4Emanuel AiwuD
- 129Nearchos ZinonosD
Dila and Apollon Limassol in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dila | Erovnuli Liga | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 40 | 37 | +3 | 40 |
| 2 | Apollon Limassol | 1. Division | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 15 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Erovnuli Liga · 1. Division
Leading scorers: Dila and Apollon Limassol
Dila
No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 40 league goals as a side.
Apollon Limassol
GoalsAssists
- Garry Rodrigues12
- Bruno Gaspar10
- Gustavo Assunção10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Apollon Limassol won 4–0 at Dila. The model had leaned towards a win for Dila at 42% and given a win for Apollon Limassol 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: B. Thomas 14' for Apollon Limassol, G. Weissbeck 28' for Apollon Limassol, T. Kikabidze (own goal) 51' for Apollon Limassol, A. Ozbolt 88' for Apollon Limassol. Sent off: Nana Kofi Donkor (Dila) 40'.