29 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

Annecy vs Metz Ligue 2 prediction & result

Parc des Sports, Annecy
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Annecy 1-1 Metz.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Annecy, 27% draw, 40% Metz — fair odds of 3.03, 3.70 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Metz at 40% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Annecy4%Draw92%Metz4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
Pape Moussa Fall
Kadan Young
22'
24'
⚽Teji Savanier
⚽Kadan Young
33'
59'
🔁Nampalys Mendyout: Believe Munongo
59'
🔁Giorgi Abuashviliout: Nathan Mbala
59'
🔁Teji Savanierout: Ibou Sane
🔁Zepiqueno Redmondout: Moïse Sahi
61'
🔁Kilyan Veniereout: Antoine Larose
61'
🔁Kadan Youngout: Pascal Mozie
76'
🔁M. Konéout: Paul Venot
76'
81'
🔁Jahyann Pandoreout: Abdoulaye Agne Ba
84'
🔁Florian Miguelout: Maxime Colin
Paul Venot
90+2'
90+3'
Bouna Sarr

Match stats — Annecy vs Metz

51%Possession49%
14Shots13
6On target1
7Corners6

Line-ups

Annecy 4-3-3
  • 1F. EscalesG
  • 41T. DelphisD
  • 23M. VeillonD
  • 18A. DrouhinD
  • 27J. KouadioD
  • 14M. KoneM
  • 5A. KashiM
  • 22C. BillemazM
  • 19K. Jusseron-VeniereF
  • 17Z. RedmondF
  • 12K. YoungF
Substitutes
  • 16T. CallensG
  • 4S. LimaD
  • 25P. VenotM
  • 15P. MozieM
  • 28A. LaroseF
  • 9T. RambaudF
  • 80M. DionF
Coach: Laurent Guyot
Metz 4-2-3-1
  • 61P. SyG
  • 70B. SarrD
  • 42C. DevenishD
  • 5J. RuizD
  • 3F. MiguelD
  • 8J. DeminguetM
  • 6N. MendyM
  • 21J. PandoreM
  • 10T. SavanierM
  • 9G. AbuashviliM
  • 11P. M. FallF
Substitutes
  • 40O. BaG
  • 2M. ColinD
  • 4M. MboulaD
  • 18B. MunongoM
  • 7I. SaneF
  • 88A. BaF
  • 39B. SongD
  • 38H. KadamaniM
  • 22N. MbalaF
Coach: Luc Holtz

Form going into Annecy vs Metz

Annecy

  • L1-3away to Reims24 August 2026

Metz

  • D1-1Laval22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Annecy731399010
5Metz7241107+310

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Annecy vs Metz

  • 8 March 2025Metz 5–1 AnnecyLigue 2
  • 14 December 2024Annecy 0–0 MetzLigue 2
  • 4 March 2023Annecy 0–3 MetzLigue 2
  • 2 September 2022Metz 0–0 AnnecyLigue 2

Leading scorers: Annecy and Metz

Annecy

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Metz

  • P. Fall5 goals
  • J. Deminguet2 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.