RED Star FC 93
vs
Reims
Ligue 2 prediction
The model makes it 38% RED Star FC 93, 20% draw, 42% Reims — fair odds of 2.63, 5.00 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: RED Star FC 93 2.14, Reims 2.27.
Both teams to score: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 82%, under 2.5: 18%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
RED Star FC 93
- D0-0Sochaux14 August 2026
- W1-0away to Nantes8 August 2026
Reims
- D3-3Dunkerque14 August 2026
- D0-0away to Clermont Foot8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 11 | Reims | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
The two sides
RED Star FC 93 carry a model rating of 6.84 against 7.05 for Reims. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): RED Star FC 93 W-D; Reims D-D.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.14 goals for RED Star FC 93 and 2.27 for Reims. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
RED Star FC 93 rate 1.07 in attack and 1.09 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Reims rate 1.49 and 1.06.
That points to 82% for over two and a half goals and 79% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 2-1 (6%).
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour RED Star FC 93, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Reims the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.14 expected goals for RED Star FC 93 against 2.27 for Reims. RED Star FC 93's attack/defence rating is 1.07/1.09 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.49/1.06 for Reims.