Annecy
vs
Clermont Foot
Ligue 2 prediction
Our model says: Annecy 1–0 Clermont Foot
The model makes it 44% Annecy, 28% draw, 28% Clermont Foot — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Annecy 1.48, Clermont Foot 1.09.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Annecy's rating is built from 46 Ligue 2 matches and Clermont Foot's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 727 matches.
Key facts
- Annecy are 9th on 16 points from 12 games; Clermont Foot are 15th on 11 points from 12 games — Ligue 2.
- Annecy have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to Boulogne.
- Clermont Foot have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Rodez.
- Last 5 meetings: Annecy 3 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 23 January 2026, ended Annecy 2–1 Clermont Foot.
More Ligue 2 predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Annecy vs Clermont Foot
Has the model earned this number?
Annecy at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Annecy vs Clermont Foot
Annecy
Ligue 2
- L0-3away to Boulogne6 November 2026
- L0-3Montpellier31 October 2026
- W3-1away to Sochaux23 October 2026
- L1-2Nancy16 October 2026
- W1-0away to Dunkerque9 October 2026
Clermont Foot
Ligue 2
- W1-0Rodez7 November 2026
- D1-1away to Nantes30 October 2026
- L0-2Guingamp23 October 2026
- D3-3away to Laval16 October 2026
- L2-3RED Star FC 9310 October 2026
What these results say
- Annecy conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Annecy had three goals or more.
- Clermont Foot failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Clermont Foot scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Clermont Foot conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Annecy | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Clermont Foot | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Annecy
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 9% today
Clermont Foot
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 40% today
From our Ligue 2 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Annecy vs Clermont Foot
- 23 January 2026Annecy 2–1 Clermont FootLigue 2
- 17 October 2025Clermont Foot 0–1 AnnecyLigue 2
- 2 May 2025Clermont Foot 3–2 AnnecyLigue 2
- 6 December 2024Annecy 2–0 Clermont FootLigue 2
- 27 July 2024Clermont Foot 1–1 AnnecyFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Annecy and Clermont Foot
Annecy
GoalsAssists
- M. Sahi50
Clermont Foot
GoalsAssists
- F. Bianchini41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Annecy a 0.3% chance of the title and Clermont Foot 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How the call on Annecy v Clermont Foot has moved
First published on 6 Nov at 48% / 27% / 25% (home / draw / away). After 2 updates it reads 44% / 28% / 28%: the biggest move is Annecy's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Annecy win44%▼ −4
- Draw28%▲ +1
- Clermont Foot win28%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Annecy the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.48 expected goals for Annecy against 1.09 for Clermont Foot. Annecy's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.61 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.49 for Clermont Foot.
How the model reaches 44% for Annecy to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Annecy to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Annecy's ratings add 2 points and Clermont Foot's ratings add 2 points, which lands on the published 44%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage41%+5
- Both sides at this match's level40%−1
- Annecy's ratings42%+2
- Clermont Foot's ratings44%+2
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Annecy at home · Clermont Foot away
League matches only, Ligue 2, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
AnnecyClermont Foot
Annecy are 9th after 12 Ligue 2 matches (between 1st and 7th so far); Clermont Foot are 15th after 12 (between 2nd and 17th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 2 matches this season: Annecy 12, Clermont Foot 12.
Annecy score most often in the 31–45 minute window (5 goals); Clermont Foot have let in 2 there.
Clermont Foot score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Annecy have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Annecy
- vs Laval4 Dec · Ligue 2win 49%
- at Nantes11 Dec · Ligue 2win 33%
- vs Saint Etienne2 Jan · Ligue 2win 28%
- at RED Star FC 9315 Jan · Ligue 2win 32%
- at Rodez22 Jan · Ligue 2win 32%
Clermont Foot
- vs Metz4 Dec · Ligue 2win 37%
- at Nancy11 Dec · Ligue 2win 24%
- vs PAU2 Jan · Ligue 2win 38%
- at Montpellier15 Jan · Ligue 2win 19%
- vs Saint Etienne22 Jan · Ligue 2win 25%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.