9 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Anderlecht 2-1 RAAL La Louvière.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Anderlecht, 24% draw, 45% RAAL La Louvière — fair odds of 3.23, 4.17 and 2.22.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

RAAL La Louvière at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Anderlecht6%Draw91%RAAL La Louvière3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Mame Wade
•Giulian Biancone
45+1'
52'
Joël Ito
54'
⚽M. Isah
🔁N. Salibaout: D. Sikan
58'
🔁L. Augustinssonout: M. N'Diaye
58'
59'
Joël Ito
59'
Joël Ito
62'
🔁M. Isahout: M. Kovacs
⚽K. Ngaassist: A. Maamar
69'
72'
🔁M. Wadeout: N. Gillot
73'
🔁T. Lutondaout: D. Lamego
🔁T. Degreefout: O. Antman
78'
🔁K. Ngaout: A. Bertaccini
79'
Giulian Biancone
89'
🔁M. Kanaout: N. Cobiella
89'
Adriano Bertaccini
90+3'
90+1'
🔁I. Coulibalyout: S. Gueulette
⚽A. Bertaccini
90'

Match stats — Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière

74%Possession26%
33Shots5
7On target2
10Corners1
3.07xG0.74

Goals against chances

Anderlecht2 from 3.07 xGless than the chances were worth
RAAL La Louvière1 from 0.74 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
  • 26C. CoosemansG
  • 79A. MaamarD
  • 4G. BianconeD
  • 27L. PetrotD
  • 6L. AugustinssonD
  • 13N. SalibaM
  • 55M. KanaM
  • 18L. AmbrosM
  • 83T. DegreefM
  • 61K. NgaM
  • 9M. Cvetkovic
Substitutes
  • 33M. Seghers
  • 32J. HeekerenG
  • 24E. LlansanaM
  • 62B. VroninksD
  • 91A. BertacciniF
  • 11O. AntmanF
  • 14D. SikanF
  • 5M. N'DiayeD
  • 50K. BarryD
Coach: Vitor Bruno
RAAL La Louvière 5-3-2
  • 21M. PeanoG
  • 18S. DelosD
  • 33P. NkoaD
  • 4W. FayeD
  • 99Y. OkouD
  • 5T. LutondaD
  • 10M. WadeM
  • 48I. CoulibalyM
  • 23J. ItoM
  • 9E. FiletF
  • 11M. IsahF
Substitutes
  • 91T. RadeletG
  • 22S. GourvilleD
  • 25D. LamegoD
  • 28B. SoumareM
  • 7M. Kovacs
  • 27N. NsingiF
  • 8S. GueuletteM
  • 44M. BoukamirD
  • 3N. GillotD
Coach: Frederic Taquin

Form going into Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière

Anderlecht

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to PAOK6 August 2026
  • W3-1Hammarby FF30 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Hammarby FF23 July 2026

RAAL La Louvière

No earlier matches on record this season.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Anderlecht116231412+220
17RAAL La Louvière112181324-117

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière

  • 15 February 2026Anderlecht 0–0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
  • 23 November 2025RAAL La Louvière 0–1 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
  • 31 October 2023RAAL La Louvière 0–1 AnderlechtCup
  • 27 October 2021RAAL La Louvière 1–7 AnderlechtCup

Leading scorers: Anderlecht and RAAL La Louvière

Anderlecht

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

RAAL La Louvière

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ubandoma60

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Anderlecht beat RAAL La Louvière 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for RAAL La Louvière at 45% and given a win for Anderlecht 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: M. Isah 54' for RAAL La Louvière, K. Nga 69' for Anderlecht, A. Bertaccini 90' for Anderlecht. Sent off: Joël Ito (RAAL La Louvière) 59'. On expected goals it finished 3.07–0.74.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.