Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 1 · 9 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière

Lotto Park, Anderlecht

The model makes it 31% Anderlecht, 24% draw, 45% RAAL La Louvière — fair odds of 3.23, 4.17 and 2.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: Anderlecht 1.47, RAAL La Louvière 1.78.

Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

64%
Both teams to score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 11%1-2 9%2-1 7%

Head-to-head: Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière

  • 15 February 2026Anderlecht 0–0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
  • 23 November 2025RAAL La Louvière 0–1 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
  • 31 October 2023RAAL La Louvière 0–1 AnderlechtCup
  • 27 October 2021RAAL La Louvière 1–7 AnderlechtCup

The two sides

Anderlecht carry a model rating of 6.56 against 6.81 for RAAL La Louvière. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

Recent form (most recent last): Anderlecht D-W.

The model expects goals

Under the hood the model expects 1.47 goals for Anderlecht and 1.78 for RAAL La Louvière. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

Anderlecht rate 0.76 in attack and 1.35 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; RAAL La Louvière rate 0.94 and 1.02.

That points to 63% for over two and a half goals and 64% for both teams to score.

The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 211 correct results out of 450 settled predictions (47%), with 45 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives RAAL La Louvière the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Anderlecht against 1.78 for RAAL La Louvière. Anderlecht's attack/defence rating is 0.76/1.35 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.94/1.02 for RAAL La Louvière.