9 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

FK Jablonec vs Slovácko Czech Liga prediction & result

Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
Full time1 – 0

Final score: FK Jablonec 1-0 Slovácko.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% FK Jablonec, 28% draw, 27% Slovácko — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FK Jablonec at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Jablonec98%Draw2%Slovácko0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 3 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
•Milan Heča
7'
Milan Heča
9'
🔁Marek Havlíkout: Pavel Halouska
44'
Andrej Stojchevski
Matěj Polidar
45+4'
🔁Jan Chramostaout: Jiří Sláma
46'
🔁Nelson Okekeout: Richard Sedláček
46'
🔁Antonín Růsekout: Lamin Jawo
46'
Nemanja Tekijaški
47'
58'
🔁Patrik Blahútout: Martin Koscelník
58'
🔁Giannis Niarchosout: Ousman Ceesay
⚽Martin Cedidlaassist: Jan Suchan
62'
🔁Jan Suchanout: Filip Zorvan
77'
79'
🔁Artur Dolznikovout: Alan Marinelli
80'
🔁Michal Trávníkout: Gibril Sosseh
83'
Ousman Ceesay
🔁Sebastian Nebylaout: Daniel Souček
90'

Match stats — FK Jablonec vs Slovácko

60%Possession40%
10Shots10
2On target2
6Corners2
0.36xG0.58

Goals against chances

FK Jablonec1 from 0.36 xGmore than the chances were worth
Slovácko0 from 0.58 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FK Jablonec
  • 99Klemen MihelakG
  • 18Martin CedidlaD
  • 4Nemanja TekijaškiD
  • 15Dušan PavlovićD
  • 7Vakhtang ChanturishviliM
  • 25Sebastian NebylaM
  • 6Nelson OkekeM
  • 21Matěj PolidarM
  • 10Jan SuchanF
  • 9Antonín RůsekF
  • 19Jan ChramostaF
Substitutes
  • 20Jiří SlámaD
  • 13Richard SedláčekM
  • 44Lamin JawoF
  • 8Filip ZorvanM
  • 14Daniel SoučekD
  • 1Jan HanušG
  • 57Filip NovákD
  • 23Eduard SobolD
  • 42Matej MalenšekF
Coach: Lubos Kozel
Slovácko
  • 29Milan HečaG
  • 21Simon SloncikD
  • 22Jocelin BehiratcheD
  • 4Andrej StojchevskiD
  • 2Gigli NdefeM
  • 26Tihomir KostadinovM
  • 10Michal TrávníkM
  • 15Patrik BlahútM
  • 20Marek HavlíkF
  • 27Artur DolznikovF
  • 7Giannis NiarchosF
Substitutes
  • 34Pavel HalouskaG
  • 24Martin KoscelníkD
  • 13Ousman CeesayF
  • 9Alan MarinelliF
  • 16Gibril SossehM
  • 33Urban AlexandrG
  • 23David ŠtěpánekD
  • 19Tomas KralD
  • 6Martin ŠviderskýM
Coach: Jan Jelinek

Form going into FK Jablonec vs Slovácko

FK Jablonec

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Rīgas FS6 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Pardubice2 August 2026
  • W2-0NK Varazdin30 July 2026
  • W2-1Sigma Olomouc26 July 2026
  • L2-3away to NK Varazdin23 July 2026

Slovácko

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Artis1 August 2026
  • L1-5away to Slavia Praha26 July 2026

What these results say

  • FK Jablonec scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FK Jablonec won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7FK Jablonec146351618-221
15Slovácko142481326-1310

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FK Jablonec vs Slovácko

  • 7 February 2026FK Jablonec 0–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
  • 30 August 2025Slovácko 0–2 FK JablonecCzech Liga
  • 9 February 2025FK Jablonec 4–2 SlováckoCzech Liga
  • 31 August 2024Slovácko 0–0 FK JablonecCzech Liga
  • 9 March 2024Slovácko 0–1 FK JablonecCzech Liga

The result against the call

FK Jablonec beat Slovácko 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FK Jablonec at 45%. The goal: Martin Cedidla 62' for FK Jablonec. Sent off: Milan Heča (Slovácko) 7', Matěj Polidar (FK Jablonec) 45+4', Ousman Ceesay (Slovácko) 83'. On expected goals it finished 0.36–0.58.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.