3 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

Albacete vs Eibar Segunda División prediction & result

Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete
Referee: J. Sanchez
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Albacete 1-3 Eibar.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Albacete, 30% draw, 41% Eibar — fair odds of 3.45, 3.33 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Eibar at 41%: of 2,664 settled 40–50% forecasts, 45.9% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Roberto Gonzalez Bayon
3'
🔁Víctor San Bartoloméout: Jesús Vallejo
45'
48'
⚽Ander Madariaga Susaeta
Lluís Lopez
51'
59'
🔁Iván Gilout: Jon Magunazelaia
66'
⚽Lluís Lopez (OG)
🔁Mario Soberon Gutierrezout: Higinio Marín
67'
🔁Victor Valverde da Silvaout: Munir El Haddadi
67'
🔁Roberto Gonzalez Bayonout: Álex Rubio Roldán
67'
69'
🔁Alvaro Rodriguezout: Sergio Cubero
69'
🔁Jon Bautistaout: Javier Martón Ansó
Agustin Medina Delgado
73'
77'
Malcom Ares
🔁Agustin Medina Delgadoout: Agustin Albarracin Basil
79'
85'
🔁jon guruzetaout: Jair Amador
85'
🔁Malcom Aresout: Pejiño
90+4'
⚽Pejiñoassist: Javier Martón Ansó

Match stats — Albacete vs Eibar

51%Possession49%
22Shots8
6On target6
6Corners0

Line-ups

Albacete 4-4-2
  • 1Carlos MarínG
  • 15Fran GámezD
  • 22Lluís LópezD
  • 21Carlos NevaD
  • 4Agus MedinaD
  • 17José CorpasM
  • 14San BartoloméM
  • 6Antonio PachecoM
  • 11Víctor ValverdeM
  • 10RóberF
  • 9Mario SoberónF
Substitutes
  • 32A. AlbarracínF
  • 27D. BernabeuD
  • 40Jota DomingoD
  • 12Higinio MarínF
  • 13Diego MariñoG
  • 16M. El HaddadiF
  • 19Alex RubioF
  • 24VallejoD
  • 8Javi VillarM
Coach: Alberto González
Eibar 4-2-3-1
  • 13Jon MikelG
  • 22Álvaro RodríguezD
  • 4Unai ElgezabalD
  • 23Anaitz ArbillaD
  • 24Juan BernatD
  • 8Ander MadariagaM
  • 30Aleix GarridoM
  • 7Malcom AduM
  • 21Iván GilM
  • 10Jon GuruzetaM
  • 9Jon BautistaF
Substitutes
  • 15Jair AmadorD
  • 18M. AranaD
  • 3Imanol García de AlbénizD
  • 20Javi MartónF
  • 11Jon MagunazelaiaM
  • 14OlaetxeaM
  • 17PejiñoF
  • 19Eric PérezF
  • 28Lucas NuñezM
Coach: Jokin Arambarri

Form going into Albacete vs Eibar

Albacete

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Girona25 September 2026
  • L1-2Cordoba18 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Granada CF12 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Castellón6 September 2026
  • L0-1Oviedo29 August 2026

Eibar

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2Las Palmas27 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Eldense19 September 2026
  • W4-0away to Celta de Vigo II14 September 2026
  • W3-0Granada CF6 September 2026
  • W1-0away to FC Andorra30 August 2026

What these results say

  • Albacete did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Albacete conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Albacete had two goals or fewer.
  • Eibar won every one of these 5 matches.
  • Eibar scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Eibar had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
21Albacete122191023-137
3Eibar127232114+723

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Albacete vs Eibar

  • 24 April 2026Albacete 0–3 EibarSegunda División
  • 8 November 2025Eibar 3–2 AlbaceteSegunda División
  • 18 January 2025Eibar 1–1 AlbaceteSegunda División
  • 9 September 2024Albacete 0–1 EibarSegunda División
  • 28 April 2024Albacete 2–1 EibarSegunda División

Leading scorers: Albacete and Eibar

Albacete

No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Eibar

GoalsAssists

  • Iván Gil41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Eibar won 3–1 at Albacete. The model had made a win for Eibar its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Roberto Gonzalez Bayon 3' for Albacete, Ander Madariaga Susaeta 48' for Eibar, Lluís Lopez (own goal) 66' for Eibar, Pejiño 90+4' for Eibar.

How the call on Albacete v Eibar has moved

First published on 20 Sep at 37% / 29% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 29% / 30% / 41%: the biggest move is Albacete's chance of winning, down 8 points.

  1. Albacete win29%▼ −8
  2. Draw30%▲ +1
  3. Eibar win41%▲ +7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.