Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United League One prediction & result
Final score: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Cambridge United.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Sheffield Wednesday, 29% draw, 33% Cambridge United — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Sheffield Wednesday at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13A. Maynard-BrewerG
- 7Y. ValeryD
- 30Ernie WeaverD
- 3M. LoweD
- 33R. JamesD
- 10B. BannanM
- 16B. MitchellM
- 24H. GrayM
- 8C. SlatteryM
- 50D. Keillor-DunnM
- 48Mason Paul James BurstowF
- 14S. FusireM
- 19W. GraingerF
- 20K. MorrisonM
- 12Ali Al HamadiF
- 2L. PalmerD
- 26S. SwinkelsD
- 27C. TruemanG
- 1J. EastwoodG
- 2L. BennettD
- 15Cathal Séan Heffernan AndrewsD
- 6K. WattsD
- 3Callum PerryD
- 38G. HoddleM
- 10B. KnightM
- 17P. MpanzuM
- 21S. McLoughlinM
- 7Isaac HeathM
- 9L. AppéréF
- 44Raees Bangura-WilliamsM
- 5P. BauerD
- 22Z. BradshawD
- 13G. BreezeG
- 11S. KaikaiF
- 19S. LaveryF
- 8O. MoxonM
Form going into Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United
Sheffield Wednesday
No earlier matches on record this season.
Cambridge United
All competitions we cover
- D1-1AFC Wimbledon26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 | Cambridge United | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United
- 2 January 2023Sheffield Wednesday 5–0 Cambridge UnitedLeague One
- 15 October 2022Cambridge United 0–2 Sheffield WednesdayLeague One
- 12 March 2022Sheffield Wednesday 6–0 Cambridge UnitedLeague One
- 19 October 2021Cambridge United 1–1 Sheffield WednesdayLeague One
- 9 August 2016Cambridge United 2–1 Sheffield WednesdayLeague Cup
Leading scorers: Sheffield Wednesday and Cambridge United
Sheffield Wednesday
GoalsAssists
- J. Lowe52
Cambridge United
GoalsAssists
- B. Knight42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sheffield Wednesday a 13.2% chance to finish in the top two: 14.9% after a win, 10.7% after a draw, 10.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 10.7%, 2.5 points lower than before the match.
Read from our League One season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.