Cadiz vs Leganes Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Cadiz 4-0 Leganes.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Cadiz, 31% draw, 33% Leganes — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Cadiz at 36%: of 4,355 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.5% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cadiz vs Leganes
Line-ups
- 1David GilG
- 27J. Diaz PeregrinaD
- 4Javi CastroD
- 6Manu FernándezD
- 3Sergio ArribasD
- 18Jandro OrellanaM
- 28D. A. Zarate HidalgoM
- 16Antonio CorderoM
- 5M. DouéM
- 24Ibon SánchezM
- 21V. KopotunF
- 2Beñat de JesúsD
- 20Borja VazquezF
- 19Urko IzetaF
- 22Cristian GutiérrezD
- 9Álvaro GarcíaF
- 13Jokin EzkietaG
- 17A. MoueffekM
- 10Javi OntiverosM
- 25G. PetitF
- 13L. ZidaneG
- 6Lalo AguilarD
- 3Javi MonteroD
- 2MarvelD
- 22Álex SancrisM
- 8Y. KechtaM
- 20Miguel AtienzaM
- 17Ismaël GharbiM
- 11Naim GarcíaM
- 19P. SokoF
- 21Álvaro MorataF
- 10Z. BuurmeesterM
- 18Andrés CamposF
- 32Suleiman El Haddadi MohamedF
- 1Raúl FernándezG
- 15Enric FranquesaD
- 38Álex GonzálezG
- 9Álex MillánF
- 5Ignasi MiquelD
- 4Rubén PulidoD
Form going into Cadiz vs Leganes
Cadiz
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Tenerife26 September 2026
- L1-2Girona19 September 2026
- L0-1Las Palmas12 September 2026
- L2-3away to Almeria6 September 2026
- D1-1Valladolid30 August 2026
Leganes
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Castellón28 September 2026
- W3-2Granada CF20 September 2026
- L0-2away to Tenerife13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Las Palmas4 September 2026
- W1-0Eldense29 August 2026
What these results say
- Cadiz did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Cadiz conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Cadiz scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Leganes had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cadiz | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 |
| 17 | Leganes | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cadiz vs Leganes
- 24 May 2026Cadiz 3–0 LeganesSegunda División
- 22 August 2025Leganes 1–1 CadizSegunda División
Leading scorers: Cadiz and Leganes
Cadiz
GoalsAssists
- Antonio Cordero51
Leganes
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Cadiz beat Leganes 4–0. The model had made a win for Cadiz its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Antonio Cordero 6' for Cadiz, Vladyslav Kopotun 54' for Cadiz, Antonio Cordero 71' for Cadiz, Aimen Moueffek 83' for Cadiz.
How the call on Cadiz v Leganes has moved
First published on 20 Sep at 39% / 30% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 36% / 31% / 33%: the biggest move is Cadiz's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Cadiz win36%▼ −3
- Draw31%▲ +1
- Leganes win33%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.