Al Wahda FC
vs
Hatta SC
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al Wahda FC 1–0 Hatta SC
The model makes it 54% Al Wahda FC, 26% draw, 20% Hatta SC — fair odds of 1.85, 3.85 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (12%).
Expected goals: Al Wahda FC 1.79, Hatta SC 0.86.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Al Wahda FC are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Key facts
- Al Wahda FC are 6th on 9 points from 5 games; Hatta SC are 13th on 3 points from 6 games — Pro League.
- Al Wahda FC are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Sharjah FC.
- Hatta SC have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Al Nasr.
- Last 5 meetings: Al Wahda FC 5 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 13 March 2024, ended Hatta SC 0–4 Al Wahda FC.
More UAE Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al Wahda FC at 54% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 989 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC
Al Wahda FC
- W1-0Sharjah FC11 September 2026
- W1-0away to Al-Dhafra6 September 2026
- W2-1Baniyas SC30 August 2026
- L0-1away to Al Nasr21 August 2026
- L2-3Ajman14 August 2026
Hatta SC
- L0-2away to Al Nasr17 October 2026
- L1-2Al-Dhafra11 September 2026
- W1-0away to Baniyas SC5 September 2026
- L0-3Sharjah FC30 August 2026
- L3-4away to Ajman22 August 2026
What these results say
- Al Wahda FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hatta SC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hatta SC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Wahda FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | Hatta SC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC
- 13 March 2024Hatta SC 0–4 Al Wahda FCPro League
- 24 September 2023Al Wahda FC 1–0 Hatta SCPro League
- 29 January 2021Hatta SC 1–4 Al Wahda FCPro League
- 16 October 2020Al Wahda FC 6–0 Hatta SCPro League
- 24 January 2020Al Wahda FC 2–0 Hatta SCPro League
The two sides
Al Wahda FC carry a model rating of 6.44 against 6.11 for Hatta SC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.79 goals for Al Wahda FC and 0.86 for Hatta SC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Al Wahda FC rate 0.54 in attack and 1.27 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Hatta SC rate 0.45 and 1.97.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Al Wahda FC a 0.5% chance of the title and Hatta SC 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al Wahda FC the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.79 expected goals for Al Wahda FC against 0.86 for Hatta SC. Al Wahda FC's attack/defence rating is 0.54/1.27 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.45/1.97 for Hatta SC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Al Wahda FC at home · Hatta SC away
League matches only, Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Al Wahda FC 5, Hatta SC 6.
Al Wahda FC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Hatta SC have let in 3 there.
Hatta SC score most often in the 31–45 minute window (2 goals); Al Wahda FC have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Al Wahda FC
- vs Al Ain8 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 25%
- at Dubai United21 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 45%
- vs Al-Wasl FC3 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 29%
- at Al-Ittihad Kalba13 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 45%
Hatta SC
- vs Khorfakkan7 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 33%
- at Al-Wasl FC19 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 12%
- vs Al-Ittihad Kalba5 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 35%
- at Al Ain12 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 10%
- vs Dubai United24 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 33%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.