Khorfakkan
vs
Al Wahda FC
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Khorfakkan 0–1 Al Wahda FC
The model makes it 30% Khorfakkan, 29% draw, 41% Al Wahda FC — fair odds of 3.33, 3.45 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Khorfakkan 1.15, Al Wahda FC 1.52.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Key facts
- Khorfakkan are 11th on 4 points from 5 games; Al Wahda FC are 6th on 9 points from 5 games — Pro League.
- Khorfakkan have won 1 of their last 5, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Baniyas SC.
- Al Wahda FC are unbeaten in 3, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Sharjah FC.
- Last 6 meetings: Al Wahda FC 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 11 May 2026, ended Khorfakkan 1–1 Al Wahda FC.
All UAE Pro League predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al Wahda FC at 41% here. Across 3,018 settled matches (as of 4 October 2026), 1,401 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC
Khorfakkan
- D0-0Baniyas SC11 September 2026
- L2-5away to Al-Wasl FC4 September 2026
- W2-0Al-Dhafra29 August 2026
- L0-2away to Al Ain22 August 2026
- L1-5Shabab Al Ahli Dubai15 August 2026
Al Wahda FC
- W1-0Sharjah FC11 September 2026
- W1-0away to Al-Dhafra6 September 2026
- W2-1Baniyas SC30 August 2026
- L0-1away to Al Nasr21 August 2026
- L2-3Ajman14 August 2026
What these results say
- Khorfakkan failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Al Wahda FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Khorfakkan | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
| 6 | Al Wahda FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC
- 11 May 2026Khorfakkan 1–1 Al Wahda FCPro League
- 28 December 2025Al Wahda FC 1–0 KhorfakkanPro League
- 30 November 2025Khorfakkan 1–2 Al Wahda FCLeague Cup
- 15 November 2025Al Wahda FC 2–2 KhorfakkanLeague Cup
- 8 February 2025Al Wahda FC 3–1 KhorfakkanPro League
- 30 August 2024Khorfakkan 0–1 Al Wahda FCPro League
Leading scorers: Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC
Khorfakkan
- J. Flemmings2 goals
Al Wahda FC
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Khorfakkan carry a model rating of 6.23 against 6.44 for Al Wahda FC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.15 goals for Khorfakkan and 1.52 for Al Wahda FC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Khorfakkan rate 0.54 in attack and 1.86 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Al Wahda FC rate 0.54 and 1.27.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,418 correct results out of 3,018 settled predictions (47%), with 294 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al Wahda FC the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.15 expected goals for Khorfakkan against 1.52 for Al Wahda FC. Khorfakkan's attack/defence rating is 0.54/1.86 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.54/1.27 for Al Wahda FC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Khorfakkan at home · Al Wahda FC away
League matches only, Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Khorfakkan 5, Al Wahda FC 5.
Al Wahda FC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Khorfakkan have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Khorfakkan
- at Dubai United30 Oct · Pro Leaguewin 29%
- at Hatta SC7 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 37%
- vs Al-Jazira21 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 23%
- at Sharjah FC5 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 30%
- vs Ajman13 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 34%
Al Wahda FC
- vs Hatta SC1 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 48%
- vs Al Ain8 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 25%
- at Dubai United21 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 36%
- vs Al-Wasl FC3 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 30%
- at Al-Ittihad Kalba13 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 42%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.