5 September 2026, 15:55 UTC

Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Pro League prediction & result

Al Taawon Arena, Buraidah
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Al Taawon 0-0 Al-Fateh.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Al Taawon, 29% draw, 33% Al-Fateh — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Al Taawon at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Al Taawon3%Draw92%Al-Fateh5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

45+4'
🔁M. Saadaneout: Z. Al Jari
Younes El Bahraoui
63'
🔁M. Al Kuwaykibiout: S. M. Al Aqel M.
63'
Younes El Bahraoui
66'
Younes El Bahraoui
66'
🔁A. Hamdallahout: B. Al Arini
72'
75'
Faisal Al Abdulwahed
80'
🔁A. R. Al Khaibreout: Bin Mahmoud
80'
🔁F. Al Abdulwahedout: S. Al Sharfa
Ashraf El Mahdioui
82'
86'
Zaydou Youssouf
87'
🔁M. Lixandruout: A. Al Fawaz
87'
🔁W. Kangaout: Ramos Jefferson
🔁P. Guiagonout: R. Al Tulayhi
90+1'

Match stats — Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh

58%Possession42%
13Shots12
1On target3
10Corners6
1.33xG0.97

Goals against chances

Al Taawon0 from 1.33 xGless than the chances were worth
Al-Fateh0 from 0.97 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Al Taawon 4-2-3-1
  • 1MailsonG
  • 6B. Al HurayjiD
  • 5Z. BelaidD
  • 32M. Al MufarrijD
  • 88M. PetkovD
  • 19O. DorleyM
  • 18A. El MahdiouiM
  • 7M. Al KuwaykibiM
  • 47Y. El BahraouiM
  • 8P. GuiagonM
  • 9A. HamdallahF
Substitutes
  • 30A. Al JadaniG
  • 27A. Al HassanD
  • 93A. Al SaluliD
  • 43N. Al HawairyD
  • 23R. Al TulayhiM
  • 70A. Hendi
  • 14S. RajabF
  • 17S. M. Al Aqel M.F
  • 20B. Al AriniF
Coach: Zarko Lazetic
Al-Fateh 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. SemperG
  • 22A. R. Al Khaibre
  • 17M. SaadaneD
  • 78A. Al SuwailemD
  • 16A. I. Al KhaibariD
  • 8M. LixandruM
  • 28Z. YoussoufM
  • 11M. BatnaM
  • 80F. Al AbdulwahedM
  • 10L. HaraslinM
  • 9W. KangaF
Substitutes
  • 94W. Al EneziG
  • 87Bin Mahmoud
  • 19R. KelderD
  • 4Z. Al JariD
  • 63M. Al ShqaqD
  • 18A. Al FawazM
  • 29A. Al MasoudF
  • 49S. Al SharfaF
  • 21Ramos JeffersonF
Coach: Khaled Al Atwi

Form going into Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh

Al Taawon

No earlier matches on record this season.

Al-Fateh

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Al-Ittihad29 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17Al Taawon11047519-144
16Al-Fateh111371023-136

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

Al Taawon and Al-Fateh drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Al Taawon at 38% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. Sent off: Younes El Bahraoui (Al Taawon) 66'. On expected goals it finished 1.33–0.97.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.