5 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Al-Ittihad vs Al-Nassr Pro League prediction & result

King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Full time2 1

Final score: Al-Ittihad 2-1 Al-Nassr.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Al-Ittihad, 28% draw, 31% Al-Nassr — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Al-Ittihad at 41% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Al-Ittihad vs Al-Nassr

Al-Ittihad

  • D0-0away to Al-Fateh29 August 2026
  • W3-2Al-Hazm24 August 2026

Al-Nassr

  • W2-1Al Taawon28 August 2026
  • W3-2away to Al-Ettifaq25 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Al-Ittihad7520126+617
3Al-Nassr7511167+916

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Al-Ittihad and Al-Nassr

Al-Ittihad

  • G. Ilenikhena4 goals2 assists
  • S. Bergwijn4 goals1 assists
  • Y. En-Nesyri4 goals

Al-Nassr

  • Ângelo3 goals2 assists
  • Cristiano Ronaldo3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.