Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Jazira Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1-3 Al-Jazira.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, 33% draw, 29% Al-Jazira — fair odds of 2.63, 3.03 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Jazira
Line-ups
- 22Hamad Al MeqebaaliG
- 31Kauan SantosD
- 3Igor GomesD
- 13RenanD
- 16RikelmeD
- 10F. CartabiaM
- 6S. EzatolahiM
- 88N. MaksimovićM
- 77Guilherme BalaM
- 20S. AzmounF
- 57Yuri CésarF
- 11Yahya Al GhassaniM
- 21Sultan AdilF
- 8Mohammad JumaM
- 19MateusãoF
- 33Matheus DonelliG
- 14D. GarcíaM
- 5E. IralaM
- 30Oumar KeitaM
- 24J. MarkeloF
- 1E. DestanoğluG
- 2IgorD
- 4Willyan RochaD
- 28R. TagirD
- 17Rúben CanedoD
- 80BrunoM
- 16Marcus MeloniM
- 8M. CoulibalyM
- 77MilsonM
- 10MalcomF
- 99Vinicius MelloF
- 94A. E. FettahogluM
- 15M. RabiiD
- 39N. MujkićD
- 74S. MalkoçoğluM
- 66S. LekovićG
- 5Khalifa Al HammadiD
- 25J. GeusensM
- 30A. DennisM
- 9S. BanzaF
Form going into Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Jazira
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Pro League
- W1-0away to Al-Wasl FC28 August 2026
- W2-0Al-Dhafra22 August 2026
Al-Jazira
Pro League
- W3-0Ajman29 August 2026
- W2-0away to Sharjah FC23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 1 | Al-Jazira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al-Jazira
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Al-Jazira
GoalsAssists
- Bruno21
- Malcom21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Jazira won 3–1 at Shabab Al Ahli Dubai. The model had leaned towards a win for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 38% and given a win for Al-Jazira 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Guilherme da Silva Goncalves 2' for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, Malcom 45+5' for Al-Jazira, Marcus Vinicius Barbosa Meloni 55' for Al-Jazira, Kristjan Asllani 90+1' for Al-Jazira.