Baniyas SC vs Hatta SC Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Baniyas SC 0-1 Hatta SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% Baniyas SC, 20% draw, 17% Hatta SC — fair odds of 1.59, 5.00 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Baniyas SC at 63% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Baniyas SC vs Hatta SC
Line-ups
- 55Fahad Al DhanhaniG
- 26Khamis Al MansooriD
- 25Nemanja DjekovicD
- 2Mahamadou CamaraD
- 23Khamis Al HammadiD
- 7Fawaz AwanaM
- 21Mackenzie HuntM
- 11Alhassan KoromaM
- 18S. Al NoobiM
- 72Mohamed Awad AllaM
- 12Y. NiakatéF
- 5Hasan Al MuharramiD
- 20Saif Al MenhaliM
- 6J. AwouteM
- 28A. DialloM
- 77S. GodwinF
- 27B. İnceF
- 1Mohammed KhalafG
- 19R. MarcianoF
- 4S. SosuM
- 22Marzooq RashedG
- 3Saeed SulaimanD
- 33Bruno LeonardoD
- 52Bastian KauaD
- 74Adham Khalid Ali AbdelhameedD
- 60D. CoulibalyM
- 8Tahnoon Al ZaabiM
- 16J. PedrozaM
- 9PedrinhoM
- 11F. Ben ArbiF
- 30S. JaziriF
- 36SchlickmannM
- 90Ahmad Eid Obaid Salem Al BedwawiG
- 2Omar SaeedD
- 10A. RchoqF
- 20M. RadonjićM
- 88Khalid Al BaloushiM
- 99B. FayeF
- 55Mohammad Al HussainiD
- 28Hamdan Humaid Hasan Ahmed AlbeshrM
Form going into Baniyas SC vs Hatta SC
Baniyas SC
Pro League
- L1-2away to Al Wahda FC30 August 2026
- L2-3Dubai United23 August 2026
Hatta SC
Pro League
- L0-3Sharjah FC30 August 2026
- L3-4away to Ajman22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Baniyas SC | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 1 |
| 13 | Hatta SC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Hatta SC won 1–0 at Baniyas SC. The model had leaned towards a win for Baniyas SC at 63% and given a win for Hatta SC 17%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goal: Ayman Rchoq 90+6' for Hatta SC.
How the call on Baniyas SC v Hatta SC has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 61% / 21% / 18% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 63% / 20% / 17%: the biggest move is Baniyas SC's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Baniyas SC win63%▲ +2
- Draw20%▼ −1
- Hatta SC win17%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.