Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Faisaly FC 0-0 Al-Hazm.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Al-Faisaly FC, 27% draw, 26% Al-Hazm — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Saudi Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Faisaly FC at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1F. PachecoG
- 2Y. BarnawiD
- 4A. SeckD
- 70M. JahfaliD
- 50M. Al ShanqitiD
- 5Andrei GirottoM
- 13C. BassogogM
- 6E. Al MuwalladM
- 77A. Al ShereafM
- 20J. SeoaneM
- 19A. MendyF
- 26M. Al HasawiG
- 87A. SubaytM
- 3K. Al HarbiD
- 82H. Al ZarieD
- 88S. HaddadD
- 8FlavioM
- 95A. FallatahM
- 7Y. Al ShammariF
- 11A. EllaF
- 23I. ZaiedG
- 2S. Al RashidD
- 4S. TunkarD
- 34A. Al DakheelD
- 3M. Ben HamidaD
- 8M. KonateM
- 17B. MugishaM
- 22A. Al DweheM
- 24A. BahM
- 7E. AcolatseM
- 9A. PululuF
- 33M. Al GhamdiG
- 13A. Al ShanqitiD
- 27A. Al NakhliD
- 10A. SayoudM
- 5M. Al Yami
- 70A. Al ShamraniM
- 29A. DiakiteF
- 11W. Al ShanqitiF
- 77M. Al HamdaniF
Form going into Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Hazm
Al-Faisaly FC
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Al-Qadisiyah FC30 August 2026
Al-Hazm
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Al Shabab30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Al-Faisaly FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Al-Hazm | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Hazm
Al-Faisaly FC
GoalsAssists
- Alexandre Mendy51
Al-Hazm
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Hazm drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Al-Faisaly FC at 47% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.87–1.10.
How the call on Al-Faisaly FC v Al-Hazm has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 42% / 29% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 47% / 27% / 26%: the biggest move is Al-Faisaly FC's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Al-Faisaly FC win47%▲ +5
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Al-Hazm win26%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.