Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Al-Qadisiyah FC, 26% draw, 23% Al-Ahli Jeddah — fair odds of 1.96, 3.85 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Qadisiyah FC at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Qadisiyah FC
- W2-0away to Al Diriyah3 September 2026
- W3-1Al-Faisaly FC30 August 2026
- W2-0away to NEOM24 August 2026
Al-Ahli Jeddah
- W5-0Al Riyadh4 September 2026
- L0-3away to Al-Hilal1 September 2026
- L1-3away to Al Kholood29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 16 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Qadisiyah FC
- M. Retegui4 goals
- Mohammed Abu Al Shamat3 goals3 assists
- J. Quiñones3 goals1 assists
Al-Ahli Jeddah
- I. Toney10 goals1 assists
- Trincão3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.