Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Hazm 1-0 Al Taawon.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Al-Hazm, 29% draw, 28% Al Taawon — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Hazm at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23I. ZaiedG
- 2S. Al RashidD
- 4S. TunkarD
- 34A. Al DakheelD
- 3M. Ben HamidaD
- 24A. BahM
- 17B. MugishaM
- 22A. Al DweheM
- 28S. BendebkaM
- 7E. AcolatseM
- 9A. PululuF
- 33M. Al GhamdiG
- 13A. Al ShanqitiD
- 27A. Al NakhliD
- 10A. SayoudM
- 5M. Al Yami
- 70A. Al ShamraniM
- 29A. DiakiteF
- 11W. Al ShanqitiF
- 77M. Al HamdaniF
- 1MailsonG
- 5Z. BelaidD
- 93A. Al SaluliD
- 32M. Al MufarrijD
- 88M. PetkovM
- 18A. El MahdiouiM
- 19O. DorleyM
- 8P. GuiagonM
- 14S. RajabM
- 10N. BajramiF
- 20B. Al AriniF
- 30A. Al JadaniG
- 4N. Al HaleelD
- 55J. CollahuazoD
- 23R. Al TulayhiM
- 16F. Al GhamdiM
- 40I. MahnashiM
- 70A. Hendi
- 17S. M. Al Aqel M.F
- 7M. Al KuwaykibiF
Form going into Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon
Al-Hazm
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Al-Faisaly FC5 September 2026
- D1-1Al Shabab30 August 2026
Al Taawon
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Al-Fateh5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Al-Hazm | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Al-Hazm beat Al Taawon 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Al-Hazm at 43%. The goal: A. Bah 3' for Al-Hazm. On expected goals it finished 0.98–0.77.