Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly FC Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Ettifaq 0-0 Al-Faisaly FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Al-Ettifaq, 28% draw, 30% Al-Faisaly FC — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Ettifaq at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 92T. Ba Al JawshG
- 61R. Al OtaibiD
- 4J. HendryD
- 70A. A. KhateebD
- 33M. Al OlayanD
- 42A. KanteM
- 11O. DudaM
- 17J. LarssonM
- 10A. MedranM
- 43B. CelinaM
- 9M. DembeleF
- 23A. Al RehailiG
- 13M. Al AlaeliD
- 78M. H. TambaktiD
- 3A. MaduD
- 87M. Al SibyaniD
- 15Abdullah Al BishiF
- 58Y. Al ShammariM
- 7K. Al GhannamF
- 80R. MessiM
- 1F. PachecoG
- 2Y. BarnawiD
- 4A. SeckD
- 5Andrei GirottoD
- 50M. Al ShanqitiD
- 6E. Al MuwalladM
- 13C. BassogogM
- 8FlavioM
- 77A. Al ShereafM
- 20J. SeoaneM
- 19A. MendyF
- 26M. Al HasawiG
- 70M. JahfaliD
- 87A. SubaytM
- 3K. Al HarbiD
- 82H. Al ZarieD
- 88S. HaddadD
- 95A. FallatahM
- 24A. Al BishiM
- 11A. EllaF
Form going into Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Ettifaq
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Abha4 September 2026
- L0-3Al Diriyah29 August 2026
Al-Faisaly FC
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Al-Hazm5 September 2026
- L1-3away to Al-Qadisiyah FC30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 | Al-Faisaly FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Ettifaq and Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Ettifaq
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Al-Faisaly FC
GoalsAssists
- Alexandre Mendy51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Ettifaq and Al-Faisaly FC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Al-Ettifaq at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.72–0.11.