8 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha Pro League prediction & result

King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Al-Ittihad 2-1 Al-Fayha.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% Al-Ittihad, 25% draw, 23% Al-Fayha — fair odds of 1.92, 4.00 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Al-Ittihad at 52% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Al-Ittihad97%Draw3%Al-Fayha0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽G. Ilenikhena
43'
45'
⚽Jason Remeseiroassist: A. Bamsaud
🔁S. Bergwijnout: M. Al Sahafi
46'
Jan-Carlo Simić
59'
🔁J. Simicout: M. Al Shanqiti
62'
🔁A. Al Ghamdiout: Y. En Nesyri
62'
•Faris Abdi
66'
66'
Mohammed Al Baqawi
⚽Y. En Nesyri (pen)
68'
🔁H. Aouarout: M. Fagihy
75'
81'
🔁A. Al Hussainout: M. Al Abdulmanam
82'
🔁M. Al Baqawiout: R. Enad
🔁G. Ilenikhenaout: R. Kaabi
86'
90'
🔁A. Bamsaudout: T. Al Jaadi
90'
🔁P. Oliveiraout: Z. Al Sahafi
90+1'
🔁Alfa Semedoout: M. Al Beshe

Match stats — Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha

50%Possession50%
21Shots15
7On target4
4Corners2
2.42xG0.62

Goals against chances

Al-Ittihad2 from 2.42 xGabout what the chances were worth
Al-Fayha1 from 0.62 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Al-Ittihad 4-2-3-1
  • 50M. Al AbsiG
  • 4J. SimicD
  • 2D. PereiraD
  • 15H. KadeshD
  • 25F. AbdiD
  • 30D. LopyM
  • 5R. RiosM
  • 27A. Al GhamdiM
  • 10H. AouarM
  • 34S. BergwijnM
  • 9G. IlenikhenaF
Substitutes
  • 88O. Al MermeshG
  • 42M. FagihyD
  • 13M. Al ShanqitiD
  • 66M. BarnawiD
  • 60R. KaabiM
  • 11S. Al ShehriF
  • 21Y. En NesyriF
  • 22M. Al SahafiF
  • 29F. Al ShamraniM
Coach: Jens Wissing
Al-Fayha 4-4-1-1
  • 52O. MosqueraG
  • 22M. Al BaqawiD
  • 15P. OliveiraD
  • 2M. Al RashidiD
  • 24A. BamsaudD
  • 23Jason RemeseiroM
  • 5Hugo MouraM
  • 6A. Al HussainM
  • 10F. SakalaM
  • 30Alfa SemedoF
  • 17LazaroF
Substitutes
  • 1A. Al DuqaylG
  • 12T. Al JaadiD
  • 21Z. Al SahafiD
  • 47M. Al DowaishD
  • 14M. Al BesheM
  • 43F. AlhubayshiM
  • 27S. Al JarbiF
  • 9M. Al AbdulmanamF
  • 77R. Enad
Coach: Carille Fabio

Form going into Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha

Al-Ittihad

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Al-Nassr5 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Al-Fateh29 August 2026

Al-Fayha

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Al Kholood3 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Al-Ittihad107212010+1023
15Al-Fayha111551219-78

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Al-Ittihad and Al-Fayha

Al-Ittihad

GoalsAssists

  • Y. En-Nesyri70
  • G. Ilenikhena63
  • S. Bergwijn51

Al-Fayha

No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Al-Ittihad beat Al-Fayha 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Al-Ittihad at 52%. The goals: G. Ilenikhena 43' for Al-Ittihad, Jason Remeseiro 45' for Al-Fayha, Y. En Nesyri (penalty) 68' for Al-Ittihad. On expected goals it finished 2.42–0.62.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.