Al-Ettifaq
vs
Al Khaleej Saihat
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al-Ettifaq 2–1 Al Khaleej Saihat
The model makes it 46% Al-Ettifaq, 27% draw, 27% Al Khaleej Saihat — fair odds of 2.17, 3.70 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Al-Ettifaq 2.00, Al Khaleej Saihat 1.24.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Ettifaq at 46% here. Across 2837 settled matches, 1308 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Ettifaq
- D3-3away to Al-Qadisiyah FC11 September 2026
- D0-0Al-Faisaly FC8 September 2026
- W1-0away to Abha4 September 2026
- L0-3Al Diriyah29 August 2026
- L2-3Al-Nassr25 August 2026
Al Khaleej Saihat
- D1-1Al-Nassr12 September 2026
- D0-0Al Riyadh7 September 2026
- L0-3away to NEOM3 September 2026
- L1-5Al-Hilal28 August 2026
- D1-1away to Abha25 August 2026
What these results say
- Al-Ettifaq failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Al Khaleej Saihat did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Al Khaleej Saihat conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al-Ettifaq | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
The two sides
Al-Ettifaq carry a model rating of 6.56 against 6.37 for Al Khaleej Saihat. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.00 goals for Al-Ettifaq and 1.24 for Al Khaleej Saihat. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Al-Ettifaq rate 0.80 in attack and 1.43 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Al Khaleej Saihat rate 0.59 and 1.53.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1326 correct results out of 2837 settled predictions (47%), with 271 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al-Ettifaq the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2 expected goals for Al-Ettifaq against 1.24 for Al Khaleej Saihat. Al-Ettifaq's attack/defence rating is 0.8/1.43 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.59/1.53 for Al Khaleej Saihat.