23 July 2026, 16:30 UTC

AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

AEK Arena, Larnaca
Full time0 – 1

Final score: AEK Larnaca 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem.

Before kick-off the model made it 18% AEK Larnaca, 37% draw, 45% Beitar Jerusalem — fair odds of 5.56, 2.70 and 2.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Beitar Jerusalem at 45% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
Eugene Ansah
54'
Omer Atzili
57'
🔁O. Atziliout: J. Kalu
57'
🔁Y. Shuaout: T. Muzie
57'
🔁E. Ansahout: S. Weissman
🔁K. Pileasout: Y. Gurfinkel
62'
🔁D. Ivanovicout: Y. Amyn
63'
🔁Miramonout: G. Ekpolo
63'
65'
Noam Muche
🔁I. Pankovout: C. Kyriakou
68'
Mike Van der Hoorn
72'
🔁A. Layouniout: Z. Adoni
76'
77'
⚽B. Carabali
82'
🔁N. Mucheout: Z. Ben Shimol
90+4'
Ziv Ben Shimol

Line-ups

AEK Larnaca 4-1-4-1
  • 51Andreas ParaskevasG
  • 21Jorge MiramónM
  • 15Hrvoje MiličevićD
  • 3Mike Van der HoornD
  • 17Kostas PileasD
  • 7Gus LedesM
  • 14Amor LayouniM
  • 20Jan RepasM
  • 6Ivan Chavdarov PankovM
  • 9Đorđe IvanovićM
  • 11Riad BajićF
Substitutes
  • 13Yahav GarfinkelD
  • 22Godswill EkpoloD
  • 8Youssef AmynM
  • 25Chambos KyriakouM
  • 44Zacharias AdoniD
  • 1Vedad MuftićG
  • 99Dimitris DimitriouG
  • 10Waldo Rubio MarínM
  • 29Giorgos NaoumM
Coach: Mauro Camoranesi
Beitar Jerusalem 4-3-3
  • 55Miguel SilvaG
  • 2Nana AntwiD
  • 5Gil CohenD
  • 4Brayan CarabalíD
  • 16Yarden CohenD
  • 26Daniel WorkoM
  • 40Boris EnowM
  • 15Noam MucheM
  • 77Omer AtziliF
  • 13Eugene AnsahF
  • 7Yarden ShuaF
Substitutes
  • 11Timothy MuzieM
  • 9Johnbosco Samuel KaluF
  • 19Shon WeissmanF
  • 8Ziv Ben ShimolM
  • 22Yehonatan OzerG
  • 33Dvir NirG
  • 14Roey ElimelechD
  • 20Ori DahanD
  • 25Liel DeriD
Coach: Almog Cohen

Head-to-head: AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem

  • 23 July 2026AEK Larnaca 0–1 Beitar JerusalemUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 22 July 2021Beitar Jerusalem 0–0 AEK LarnacaFriendlies Clubs
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.