AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: AEK Larnaca 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem.
Before kick-off the model made it 18% AEK Larnaca, 37% draw, 45% Beitar Jerusalem — fair odds of 5.56, 2.70 and 2.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Beitar Jerusalem v AEK Larnaca, 30 Jul →
Beitar Jerusalem went through on penalties, after 3–3 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Beitar Jerusalem at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 51Andreas ParaskevasG
- 21Jorge MiramónM
- 15Hrvoje MiličevićD
- 3Mike Van der HoornD
- 17Kostas PileasD
- 7Gus LedesM
- 14Amor LayouniM
- 20Jan RepasM
- 6Ivan Chavdarov PankovM
- 9Đorđe IvanovićM
- 11Riad BajićF
- 13Yahav GarfinkelD
- 22Godswill EkpoloD
- 8Youssef AmynM
- 25Chambos KyriakouM
- 44Zacharias AdoniD
- 1Vedad MuftićG
- 99Dimitris DimitriouG
- 10Waldo Rubio MarínM
- 29Giorgos NaoumM
- 55Miguel SilvaG
- 2Nana AntwiD
- 5Gil CohenD
- 4Brayan CarabalíD
- 16Yarden CohenD
- 26Daniel WorkoM
- 40Boris EnowM
- 15Noam MucheM
- 77Omer AtziliF
- 13Eugene AnsahF
- 7Yarden ShuaF
- 11Timothy MuzieM
- 9Johnbosco Samuel KaluF
- 19Shon WeissmanF
- 8Ziv Ben ShimolM
- 22Yehonatan OzerG
- 33Dvir NirG
- 14Roey ElimelechD
- 20Ori DahanD
- 25Liel DeriD
AEK Larnaca and Beitar Jerusalem in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 1. Division | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 16 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: 1. Division · Ligat Ha'al
Head-to-head: AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem
- 22 July 2021Beitar Jerusalem 0–0 AEK LarnacaFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: AEK Larnaca and Beitar Jerusalem
AEK Larnaca
No player in 1. Division's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Beitar Jerusalem
GoalsAssists
- O. Atzili32
- E. Ansah30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Beitar Jerusalem won 1–0 at AEK Larnaca. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Beitar Jerusalem at 45%. The goal: B. Carabali 77' for Beitar Jerusalem. Sent off: Mike Van der Hoorn (AEK Larnaca) 72'.