Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Fenerbahçe 4-2 Konyaspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 87% Fenerbahçe, 8% draw, 5% Konyaspor — fair odds of 1.15, 12.50 and 20.00.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Fenerbahçe at 87%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31EdersonG
- 27N. SemedoD
- 37M. SkriniarD
- 15N. AkeD
- 3A. BrownD
- 91N. KanteM
- 6M. GuendouziM
- 11M. GreenwoodM
- 10M. AsensioM
- 7K. AkturkogluM
- 19V. MuriqiF
- 13T. CetinG
- 18M. MuldurD
- 14Y. E. DemirD
- 22L. MercanD
- 5I. YuksekM
- 28B. ElmazM
- 9R. LukakuF
- 17I. KahveciM
- 70O. AydinF
- 1D. ErtasG
- 5U. YazgiliD
- 15C. AwaziemD
- 4A. DemirbagD
- 17Y. AndzouanaD
- 66R. TothM
- 77M. IbrahimogluM
- 9D. TurucM
- 7D. GoncalvesM
- 19E. ColleyM
- 11J. MulekaF
- 29E. AydinG
- 26A. MasuakuD
- 22R. BaniyaD
- 3A. BoslukD
- 8M. JevtovicM
- 10E. BardhiM
- 25O. CobanogluM
- 99B. KramerF
- 94E. DestanF
Form going into Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor
Fenerbahçe
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Lyon18 August 2026
- L1-2away to Gençlerbirliği S.K.15 August 2026
- W1-0away to Sturm Graz11 August 2026
- W2-0Sturm Graz5 August 2026
- D1-1away to Gornik Zabrze29 July 2026
Konyaspor
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Rizespor15 August 2026
What these results say
- Fenerbahçe scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Fenerbahçe had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fenerbahçe | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 10 | +19 | 19 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor
- 9 May 2026Konyaspor 0–3 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
- 21 April 2026Konyaspor 1–0 FenerbahçeTürkiye Kupası
- 15 December 2025Fenerbahçe 4–0 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 31 May 2025Fenerbahçe 2–1 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 13 January 2025Konyaspor 2–3 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Fenerbahçe and Konyaspor
Fenerbahçe
GoalsAssists
- V. Muriqi71
- M. Greenwood62
- İ. Kahveci53
Konyaspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Fenerbahçe beat Konyaspor 4–2. The model had made a win for Fenerbahçe its most likely outcome, at 87%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goals: V. Muriqi 7' for Fenerbahçe, E. Colley 10' for Konyaspor, M. Greenwood 20' for Fenerbahçe, M. Asensio 33' for Fenerbahçe, M. Greenwood 49' for Fenerbahçe, D. Turuc 90' for Konyaspor. On expected goals it finished 2.33–1.26.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.