22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Rizespor vs Samsunspor Süper Lig prediction & result

Rize
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Rizespor 0-2 Samsunspor.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Rizespor, 22% draw, 33% Samsunspor — fair odds of 2.22, 4.55 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rizespor at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rizespor0%Draw1%Samsunspor99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

27'
Logi Tomasson
33'
⚽J. Mendesassist: S. Jarju
63'
⚽F. Kayaassist: S. Jarju
65'
🔁Y. Kayanout: S. Onur
🔁I. Olawoyinout: D. Varesanovic
67'
🔁A. Mebudeout: E. Bulut
67'
🔁T. Antalyaliout: M. C. Tosun
80'
🔁Z. Arissout: T. T. Sanuc
81'
Modibo Sagnan
83'
85'
🔁S. Jarjuout: T. Bulbul
🔁M. Sagnanout: M. Faye
88'
90+1'
🔁F. Kayaout: A. Sekongo

Match stats — Rizespor vs Samsunspor

60%Possession40%
28Shots6
8On target3
10Corners1
1.6xG0.28

Goals against chances

Rizespor0 from 1.60 xGless than the chances were worth
Samsunspor2 from 0.28 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Rizespor 4-2-3-1
  • 75Y. FofanaG
  • 54M. PalaD
  • 4A. MocsiD
  • 93M. SagnanD
  • 17Z. ArissD
  • 10I. OlawoyinM
  • 14T. AntalyaliM
  • 11A. MebudeM
  • 20Q. LaciM
  • 23A. KutucuM
  • 9A. SoweF
Substitutes
  • 30Z. GorgenG
  • 5T. T. SanucD
  • 37T. SahinD
  • 21S. BakayokoD
  • 19U. ErdemD
  • 47E. Yilmaz
  • 8D. VaresanovicM
  • 22M. FayeF
  • 99E. BulutF
Coach: Recep Ucar
Samsunspor 4-3-3
  • 1O. KocukG
  • 2J. MendesD
  • 24T. BorevkovicD
  • 6A. B. DiabbateD
  • 17L. TomassonD
  • 4E. WattM
  • 5C. YukselM
  • 20Y. KayanM
  • 30S. JarjuF
  • 14F. KayaF
  • 11E. KilincF
Substitutes
  • 25B. BayazitG
  • 13E. UstunG
  • 34G. GuarinoD
  • 72M. TanD
  • 23E. Albak
  • 8S. OnurM
  • 21E. DegirmenciM
  • 42A. SekongoM
  • 70T. BulbulM
Coach: Thorsten Fink

Form going into Rizespor vs Samsunspor

Rizespor

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to Konyaspor15 August 2026

Samsunspor

All competitions we cover

  • D3-3Göztepe17 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Rizespor114251316-314
17Samsunspor112181126-157

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rizespor vs Samsunspor

  • 9 April 2026Rizespor 4–1 SamsunsporSüper Lig
  • 27 October 2025Samsunspor 1–1 RizesporSüper Lig
  • 22 February 2025Samsunspor 2–3 RizesporSüper Lig
  • 22 September 2024Rizespor 0–1 SamsunsporSüper Lig
  • 23 February 2024Samsunspor 3–0 RizesporSüper Lig

The full Rizespor vs Samsunspor record →

Leading scorers: Rizespor and Samsunspor

Rizespor

GoalsAssists

  • A. Sowe40

Samsunspor

No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Samsunspor won 2–0 at Rizespor. The model had leaned towards a win for Rizespor at 45% and given a win for Samsunspor 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: J. Mendes 33' for Samsunspor, F. Kaya 63' for Samsunspor. On expected goals it finished 1.60–0.28.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.