22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas Segunda División prediction & result

Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
Full time0 – 2

Final score: AD Ceuta FC 0-2 Las Palmas.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% AD Ceuta FC, 20% draw, 28% Las Palmas — fair odds of 1.92, 5.00 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

AD Ceuta FC at 52%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

AD Ceuta FC0%Draw1%Las Palmas99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

29'
⚽T. Miyashiro
30'
•Giovanni Bonfanti
Kialy Abdoul Kone
50'
🔁Y. Bodigerout: A. Melendez
64'
🔁A. Camachoout: C. Teguia
64'
66'
🔁Jeseout: R. Cruz
69'
⚽M. Fusterassist: T. Miyashiro
🔁K. Zalazarout: A. Osoro
73'
75'
🔁E. Loiodiceout: I. Gonzalez
87'
🔁J. Betancorout: A. Rodriguez
87'
🔁M. Fusterout: S. Ruiz
87'
🔁G. Bonfantiout: E. Romero
Cedric Teguia
90+3'
🔁C. Redruello Nimoout: Matos Jose
90'

Match stats — AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas

52%Possession48%
19Shots9
4On target4
6Corners4

Line-ups

AD Ceuta FC 4-3-3
  • 13G. VallejoG
  • 23AnuarD
  • 6C. HernandezD
  • 5A. LapenaD
  • 16C. Redruello NimoD
  • 8K. ZalazarM
  • 14Y. BodigerM
  • 10M. IllescasM
  • 22K. KoneF
  • 9J. EscobarF
  • 7A. CamachoF
Substitutes
  • 1P. LopezG
  • 4A. CaparrosD
  • 3Matos JoseD
  • 24V. Herranz Corral
  • 34D. MasD
  • 32A. OsoroM
  • 20A. MelendezM
  • 31A. R. GonzalezM
  • 11C. TeguiaM
Coach: Jose Romero
Las Palmas 4-4-2
  • 13J. CaroG
  • 27V. PezzolesiD
  • 4Alex SuarezD
  • 15J. HerzogD
  • 21G. BonfantiD
  • 11T. MiyashiroM
  • 12E. LoiodiceM
  • 20K. RodriguezM
  • 7J. BetancorM
  • 14M. FusterF
  • 10JeseF
Substitutes
  • 35A. SuarezG
  • 23A. RodriguezD
  • 33V. VilloteD
  • 24Ivan JaimeM
  • 8S. RuizM
  • 6I. GonzalezM
  • 16M. AcimovicM
  • 26A. BassingaM
  • 30I. MedinaF
Coach: Ruben de la Barrera

Form going into AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas

AD Ceuta FC

All competitions we cover

  • L1-5away to FC Andorra15 August 2026

Las Palmas

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Albacete16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
22AD Ceuta FC1312101030-205
10Las Palmas136251921-220

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas

  • 8 March 2026Las Palmas 4–0 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
  • 14 December 2025AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Las PalmasSegunda División

Leading scorers: AD Ceuta FC and Las Palmas

AD Ceuta FC

GoalsAssists

  • Jordi Escobar41
  • Carlos Hernández40

Las Palmas

GoalsAssists

  • Jesé41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Las Palmas won 2–0 at AD Ceuta FC. The model had leaned towards a win for AD Ceuta FC at 52% and given a win for Las Palmas 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: T. Miyashiro 29' for Las Palmas, M. Fuster 69' for Las Palmas.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.