Oviedo vs Leganes Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Oviedo 0-1 Leganes.
Before kick-off the model made it 70% Oviedo, 20% draw, 10% Leganes — fair odds of 1.43, 5.00 and 10.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Oviedo at 70%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Oviedo vs Leganes
Line-ups
- 13Aarón EscandellG
- 22Nacho VidalD
- 4David CostasD
- 12Dani CalvoD
- 3Juan CruzD
- 10Alberto ReinaM
- 5Youness LachhabM
- 20Pablo SáenzM
- 6Daniel VillahermosaM
- 11Jacobo GonzálezM
- 9Chris RamosF
- 2Aisar AhmedM
- 15Samu RodríguezD
- 24Alexandru IșfanF
- 1Miguel NarvaezG
- 23Carlos DomínguezD
- 16Aritz AldasoroM
- 28Diego MenendezM
- 32Enzo PérezM
- 14Carlos FernándezF
- 1Raúl FernándezG
- 2MarvelD
- 5Ignasi MiquelD
- 10Zico BuurmeesterD
- 6Lalo AguilarM
- 11Naim GarcíaM
- 20Miguel AtienzaM
- 23Álvaro TejeroM
- 17Ismael GharbiF
- 8Yassine KechtaF
- 19Patrick SokoF
- 13Luca ZidaneG
- 14Dani RodríguezM
- 9Álex MillánF
- 31Nico LozanoG
- 28Beltrán Auguste PaolucciD
- 29David HamansenyaD
- 4Rubén PulidoD
- 7Rubén PeñaD
- 21Andrés CamposF
Form going into Oviedo vs Leganes
Oviedo
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Granada CF15 August 2026
Leganes
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Girona16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Oviedo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 21 |
| 18 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Oviedo vs Leganes
- 9 August 2025Leganes 0–0 OviedoFriendlies Clubs
- 9 August 2024Leganes 2–1 OviedoFriendlies Clubs
- 27 January 2024Oviedo 1–0 LeganesSegunda División
- 7 October 2023Leganes 0–0 OviedoSegunda División
- 18 March 2023Leganes 0–1 OviedoSegunda División
- 21 August 2022Oviedo 1–0 LeganesSegunda División
Leading scorers: Oviedo and Leganes
Oviedo
GoalsAssists
- Carlos Domínguez50
Leganes
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Leganes won 1–0 at Oviedo. The model had leaned towards a win for Oviedo at 70% and given a win for Leganes 10%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 10 matches like this one. The goal: I. Gharbi 19' for Leganes. Sent off: R. Fernandez (Leganes) 23'.