AB Copenhagen
vs
Brondby
DBU Pokalen prediction
Our model says: AB Copenhagen 0–1 Brondby
The model makes it 28% AB Copenhagen, 30% draw, 42% Brondby — fair odds of 3.57, 3.33 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: AB Copenhagen 1.02, Brondby 1.36.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 42%, under 2.5: 58%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Edge to Brondby: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Key facts
- AB Copenhagen are 7th in 1. Division on 12 points from 10 games; Brondby are 5th in Superliga on 16 points from 10 games.
- AB Copenhagen have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Aarhus Fremad.
- Brondby have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 5-2 win at home to Lyngby.
Chance to go through
DBU Pokalen Round of 16 — a single match: the winner goes through.
- AB Copenhagen27%
- Level after ninety minutes29%
- Brondby44%
The model's chance of each side going through in ninety minutes. Level means extra time or penalties, which it does not forecast. A new figure: not yet checked against settled ties, so read it as an estimate, not a record.
More predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: AB Copenhagen vs Brondby
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Brondby at 42% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into AB Copenhagen vs Brondby
AB Copenhagen
- W2-0Aarhus Fremad9 October 2026
- W3-0Esbjerg19 September 2026
- L0-1away to Hillerød12 September 2026
- L0-2Aalborg5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Kolding IF29 August 2026
Brondby
- W5-2Lyngby11 October 2026
- L0-1FC Copenhagen20 September 2026
- L1-4away to FC Midtjylland14 September 2026
- L0-3Randers FC6 September 2026
- L1-3away to FC Nordsjaelland30 August 2026
What these results say
- Brondby conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Brondby failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Brondby had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
AB Copenhagen and Brondby in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AB Copenhagen | 1. Division | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Brondby | Superliga | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: 1. Division · Superliga
Leading scorers: AB Copenhagen and Brondby
AB Copenhagen
No player in 1. Division's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Brondby
GoalsAssists
- O. Hyseni33
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
AB Copenhagen carry a model rating of 6.3 against 6.59 for Brondby. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.02 goals for AB Copenhagen and 1.36 for Brondby. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
AB Copenhagen rate 0.50 in attack and 1.52 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Brondby rate 0.74 and 1.25.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Brondby the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.02 expected goals for AB Copenhagen against 1.36 for Brondby. AB Copenhagen's attack/defence rating is 0.5/1.52 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.74/1.25 for Brondby.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
AB Copenhagen at home · Brondby away
League matches only, this season — AB Copenhagen in the 1. Division, Brondby in the Superliga. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All league matches this season: AB Copenhagen 10 in the 1. Division, Brondby 10 in the Superliga.
AB Copenhagen score most often in the 16–30 minute window (4 goals); Brondby have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
AB Copenhagen
- at FC Fredericia31 Oct · 1. Divisionwin 24%
- vs Vendsyssel FF6 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 54%
- at Esbjerg21 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 37%
- vs Vejle27 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 38%
Brondby
- vs Aarhus1 Nov · Superligawin 38%
- at FC Copenhagen8 Nov · Superligawin 21%
- vs FC Midtjylland23 Nov · Superligawin 26%
- at Sonderjyske27 Nov · Superligawin 44%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.