AIK Stockholm vs Orgryte IS Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: AIK Stockholm 0-3 Orgryte IS.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% AIK Stockholm, 28% draw, 15% Orgryte IS — fair odds of 1.75, 3.57 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts AIK Stockholm at 57% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — AIK Stockholm vs Orgryte IS
Line-ups
- 15K. NordfeldtG
- 17M. ThychosenD
- 4S. PapagiannopoulosD
- 3H. MatthysD
- 5L. BergquistD
- 7A. MujanicM
- 19D. BesirovicM
- 28L. JaretegM
- 29K. FillingF
- 8J. HoveF
- 11V. AnderssonF
- 30K. JoelssonG
- 6M. EllingsenM
- 22A. HelmF
- 9L. CarlstrandF
- 16S. GustafssonF
- 14F. NissenD
- 18A. AliM
- 34W. OlofssonD
- 41M. ShillaM
- 44H. GustafssonG
- 14D. PaulsonD
- 33S. LagerlundD
- 6M. DyrestamD
- 5C. StyffeD
- 2M. ParkerD
- 17W. HofvanderM
- 23O. Parker-PriceM
- 8B. Laturnus
- 11N. ChristofferssonF
- 22T. SanaF
- 34A. RahmG
- 3J. AzulayD
- 21W. KenndalM
- 19A. AndreassonD
- 15J. TibblingF
- 16H. DahlqvistD
- 7C. VindehallM
- 9L. AnderssonF
- 29M. EbietomereD
Form going into AIK Stockholm vs Orgryte IS
AIK Stockholm
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to BK Hacken27 July 2026
- W2-0Gais18 July 2026
Orgryte IS
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Vasteras SK FK24 July 2026
- D0-0Djurgardens IF20 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | AIK Stockholm | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 38 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AIK Stockholm vs Orgryte IS
- 19 February 2022AIK Stockholm 2–0 Orgryte ISSvenska Cupen
- 1 March 2020Orgryte IS 0–1 AIK StockholmSvenska Cupen
Leading scorers: AIK Stockholm and Orgryte IS
AIK Stockholm
GoalsAssists
- J. Hove103
Orgryte IS
GoalsAssists
- N. Christoffersson81
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Orgryte IS won 3–0 at AIK Stockholm. The model had leaned towards a win for AIK Stockholm at 57% and given a win for Orgryte IS 15%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goals: N. Christoffersson 2' for Orgryte IS, N. Christoffersson 23' for Orgryte IS, N. Christoffersson 67' for Orgryte IS.