2 August 2026, 14:30 UTC

AIK Stockholm vs Orgryte IS Allsvenskan prediction & result

Strawberry Arena, Solna
Full time0 – 3

Final score: AIK Stockholm 0-3 Orgryte IS.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% AIK Stockholm, 28% draw, 15% Orgryte IS — fair odds of 1.75, 3.57 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts AIK Stockholm at 57% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

AIK Stockholm0%Draw1%Orgryte IS99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

2'
⚽N. Christofferssonassist: O. Parker-Price
23'
⚽N. Christofferssonassist: W. Hofvander
🔁S. Papagiannopoulosout: W. Olofsson
33'
S. Papagiannopoulos
42'
🔁L. Jaretegout: L. Carlstrand
46'
🔁A. Mujanicout: A. Ali
57'
63'
W. Hofvander
67'
⚽N. Christofferssonassist: O. Parker-Price
🔁L. Bergquistout: A. Helm
73'
🔁V. Anderssonout: S. Gustafsson
73'
73'
🔁W. Hofvanderout: A. Andreasson
73'
🔁M. Parkerout: C. Vindehall
75'
S. Lagerlund
80'
🔁C. Styffeout: J. Azulay
80'
🔁N. Christofferssonout: J. Tibbling
90'
🔁O. Parker-Priceout: W. Kenndal

Match stats — AIK Stockholm vs Orgryte IS

67%Possession33%
13Shots13
1On target7
5Corners2

Line-ups

AIK Stockholm 4-3-3
  • 15K. NordfeldtG
  • 17M. ThychosenD
  • 4S. PapagiannopoulosD
  • 3H. MatthysD
  • 5L. BergquistD
  • 7A. MujanicM
  • 19D. BesirovicM
  • 28L. JaretegM
  • 29K. FillingF
  • 8J. HoveF
  • 11V. AnderssonF
Substitutes
  • 30K. JoelssonG
  • 6M. EllingsenM
  • 22A. HelmF
  • 9L. CarlstrandF
  • 16S. GustafssonF
  • 14F. NissenD
  • 18A. AliM
  • 34W. OlofssonD
  • 41M. ShillaM
Coach: Jose Riveiro
Orgryte IS 5-3-2
  • 44H. GustafssonG
  • 14D. PaulsonD
  • 33S. LagerlundD
  • 6M. DyrestamD
  • 5C. StyffeD
  • 2M. ParkerD
  • 17W. HofvanderM
  • 23O. Parker-PriceM
  • 8B. Laturnus
  • 11N. ChristofferssonF
  • 22T. SanaF
Substitutes
  • 34A. RahmG
  • 3J. AzulayD
  • 21W. KenndalM
  • 19A. AndreassonD
  • 15J. TibblingF
  • 16H. DahlqvistD
  • 7C. VindehallM
  • 9L. AnderssonF
  • 29M. EbietomereD
Coach: Andreas Holmberg

Form going into AIK Stockholm vs Orgryte IS

AIK Stockholm

  • D0-0away to BK Hacken27 July 2026
  • W2-0Gais18 July 2026

Orgryte IS

  • L0-2away to Vasteras SK FK24 July 2026
  • D0-0Djurgardens IF20 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7AIK Stockholm209562931-232
15Orgryte IS2136122447-2315

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: AIK Stockholm vs Orgryte IS

  • 2 August 2026AIK Stockholm 0–3 Orgryte ISAllsvenskan
  • 19 February 2022AIK Stockholm 2–0 Orgryte ISSvenska Cupen
  • 1 March 2020Orgryte IS 0–1 AIK StockholmSvenska Cupen

Leading scorers: AIK Stockholm and Orgryte IS

AIK Stockholm

No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 29 league goals as a side.

Orgryte IS

  • N. Christoffersson8 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.