Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 15 · 2 August 2026, 14:30 UTC

AIK Stockholm vs Orgryte IS

Strawberry Arena, Solna

The model makes it 57% AIK Stockholm, 28% draw, 15% Orgryte IS — fair odds of 1.75, 3.57 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (17%).

Expected goals: AIK Stockholm 1.48, Orgryte IS 0.63.

Both teams to score: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%, under 2.5: 65%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

37%
Both teams to score
35%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-0 17%2-0 13%0-0 13%

Head-to-head: AIK Stockholm vs Orgryte IS

  • 19 February 2022AIK Stockholm 2–0 Orgryte ISSvenska Cupen
  • 1 March 2020Orgryte IS 0–1 AIK StockholmSvenska Cupen
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives AIK Stockholm the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.48 expected goals for AIK Stockholm against 0.63 for Orgryte IS. AIK Stockholm's attack/defence rating is 0.43/1.33 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.34/1.82 for Orgryte IS.