1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: 1. FC Magdeburg 3-0 Hannover 96.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% 1. FC Magdeburg, 26% draw, 32% Hannover 96 — fair odds of 2.38, 3.85 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
1. FC Magdeburg at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1D. ReimannG
- 7H. BockhornD
- 5T. MüllerD
- 3A. MacNultyD
- 28P. NadjombeD
- 38L. HyryläinenM
- 26T. MüselM
- 8E. IyohaM
- 10M. KwartengM
- 23B. AtikM
- 22M. ŻukowskiF
- 35Magnus Elias BaarsF
- 11F. ChávezM
- 15D. HeberD
- 6P. JaeckelD
- 30N. KruthG
- 33Leon MergnerM
- 14Tony ReitzM
- 9R. ŠimićF
- 29R. TachieF
- 30L. WeinkaufG
- 3B. TomiakD
- 4J. HugonetD
- 17B. AllgeierD
- 13F. RoggowM
- 33M. NeubauerM
- 23S. ÞórðarsonM
- 10M. HartelM
- 29K. OudenneM
- 9B. KällmanF
- 44E. SahitiF
- 8W. TaïbiM
- 38Jasper ReinholdM
- 11B. PichlerF
- 20I. OkonD
- 27H. MatsudaD
- 1P. LoretzG
- 5V. GhițăD
- 28Taycan Macid EtcibasiF
- 14H. ChakrounF
Form going into 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96
1. FC Magdeburg
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to SpVgg Greuther Fürth18 September 2026
- W3-01. FC Kaiserslautern12 September 2026
- L1-2away to Hertha BSC6 September 2026
- W2-0Holstein Kiel30 August 2026
- W3-0away to VfL Osnabrück15 August 2026
Hannover 96
All competitions we cover
- W2-1VfL Bochum20 September 2026
- L1-2away to 1. FC Nürnberg11 September 2026
- D2-2Karlsruher SC4 September 2026
- W1-0away to SV Darmstadt 9830 August 2026
- L0-1VfL Wolfsburg16 August 2026
What these results say
- 1. FC Magdeburg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Hannover 96 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hannover 96 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 20 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96
- 30 January 20261. FC Magdeburg 1–2 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
- 23 August 2025Hannover 96 3–1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
- 29 March 2025Hannover 96 0–0 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
- 10 January 2025Hannover 96 0–3 1. FC MagdeburgFriendlies Clubs
- 14 November 2024Hannover 96 2–2 1. FC MagdeburgFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: 1. FC Magdeburg and Hannover 96
1. FC Magdeburg
GoalsAssists
- E. Iyoha60
- M. Żukowski60
Hannover 96
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
1. FC Magdeburg beat Hannover 96 3–0. The model had made a win for 1. FC Magdeburg its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 3' for 1. FC Magdeburg, Emmanuel Iyoha 30' for 1. FC Magdeburg, Mateusz Zukowski 86' for 1. FC Magdeburg. On expected goals it finished 1.41–0.93.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 20.2% chance to finish in the top four: 24.4% after a win, 17.1% after a draw, 15.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 24.4%, 4.2 points higher than before the match.
For Hannover 96 the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 15.9% going in: 19.2% after a win, 16.1% after a draw, 12.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 12.5%, 3.4 points lower than before the match.
Read from our 2. Bundesliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on 1. FC Magdeburg v Hannover 96 has moved
First published on 26 Sep at 39% / 28% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 42% / 26% / 32%: the biggest move is 1. FC Magdeburg's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- 1. FC Magdeburg win42%▲ +3
- Draw26%▼ −2
- Hannover 96 win32%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.